MLB Game Overviews

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Brady Singer R

xERA3.47 (good)ERA3.18K%20.0 (avg)

More Stats

HH%36.5 (avg)Barrel%1.9 (elite)IP/gs5.7 IP/gsH/gs5.7PC/gs101BB%10.7

WSN vs RHP

wRC+108 (avg)K%22.7 (avg)HH%41.3 (above avg)Whiff%24.9

Trevor Williams R

xERA2.49 (elite)ERA0.00K%36.4 (elite)

More Stats

HH%45.5 (poor)Barrel%0.0 (elite)IP/gs4.2 IP (3gs)H/gs?PC/gs33BB%9.1

CIN vs RHP

wRC+117 (above avg)K%31.2 (poor)HH%42.8 (above avg)Whiff%27.4

Bullpens · Last 12

CIN

xERA 3.65 (good)ERA 2.452d stress Stressed (6.3 IP/1g)

WSN

xERA 4.17 (avg)ERA 3.322d stress Normal (3.0 IP/1g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalCIN-110-1.5 (+140)O9.5 (+100)WSN-104+1.5 (-166)U9.5 (-120)

Brady Singer · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 4vs W6.010165333

Jul 29vs L4.110037444

Jul 22@ W6.210166133

Jul 17@ W7.09664022

Jul 9vs L7.18954111

Trevor Williams · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 6@ L1.0*1520100

Aug 4@ L1.0*2122000

Jul 31@ L2.2*6343100

Jul 29vs L1.1*1510000

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Brady Singer

IPERAKHBB

vs WSN2.716.981.55.51.5(2)

at WSN2.130.001.05.02.0(1)

Trevor Williams

IPERAKHBB

vs CIN5.17.064.09.02.0(1)

home starts4.010.005.08.51.0(2)

Trends · CIN

• CIN are 1-3 vs WSN this season (4 games).
• CIN are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
• CIN are 6-4 in their last 10 away games.
• CIN are 3-2 in Brady Singer's last 5 starts.
• CIN are 2-3 in Brady Singer's last 5 away starts.
• CIN average 3.6 runs/game in Brady Singer's last 5 starts.
• CIN average 4.6 runs/game in Brady Singer's last 5 away starts.

Over / Under

• CIN are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 games.
• CIN are 2-8 to the over in their last 10 away games.
• CIN are 1-4 to the over in Brady Singer's last 5 starts.
• CIN are 1-1 to the over in Brady Singer's last 2 away starts.

Trends · WSN

• WSN are 3-1 vs CIN this season (4 games).
• WSN are 2-8 in their last 10 games.
• WSN are 4-6 in their last 10 home games.

Over / Under

• WSN are 3-7 to the over in their last 10 games.
• WSN are 3-7 to the over in their last 10 home games.

Weather · Hot

98°F, Wind 12 mph

Flags · 6

• WSN — Trevor Williams: small sample (4.2 IP over 3 starts) — stats may not reflect true ability
• WSN — Trevor Williams: HH% 45% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
• CIN bullpen stressed (6.3 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
• CIN — Brady Singer: last start: 101 pitches — high pitch count, may be on shorter leash today
• CIN — Brady Singer: 2026-07-29: 4 ER in 4.1 IP (ERA equiv 9) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
• WSN — Trevor Williams: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-08-06, 2026-08-04 — may affect pitch count or availability

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

J.T. Ginn R

xERA3.13 (good)ERA5.94K%27.1 (good)

More Stats

HH%35.7 (avg)Barrel%2.4 (elite)IP/gs5.6 IP/gsH/gs4.0PC/gs86BB%11.4

BOS vs RHP

wRC+150 (elite)K%17.5 (above avg)HH%33.9 (below avg)Whiff%22.7

Brayan Bello R

xERA2.57 (elite)ERA0.00K%17.6 (avg)

More Stats

HH%23.1 (elite)Barrel%0.0 (elite)IP/gs9.0 IP (3gs)H/gs?PC/gs38BB%5.9

ATH vs RHP

wRC+81 (below avg)K%18.3 (above avg)HH%37.1 (avg)Whiff%20.6

Bullpens · Last 12

ATH

xERA 4.85 (below avg)ERA 7.302d stress Elevated (5.0 IP/1g)

BOS

xERA 1.86 (elite)ERA 1.312d stress Normal (3.0 IP/1g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalATH-2900-3.5 (-160)O10.5 (+265)BOS+4100+3.5 (+265)U10.5 (-222)

J.T. Ginn · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 4@ L6.09155233

Jul 18vs W6.18271300

Jul 12@ L4.18676388

Jul 7@ L4.06142222

Jul 1vs W6.010443511

Brayan Bello · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 6vs W2.0*2813101

Aug 4vs W3.0*2820000

Jul 31@ W4.0*5833100

Jul 22vs L5.1*8554100

Jul 12@ W4.1*5552011

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

J.T. Ginn

IPERAKHBB

vs BOS6.03.003.05.01.0(1)

at BOS6.03.003.05.01.0(1)

Brayan Bello

IPERAKHBB

vs ATH4.06.753.05.02.0(1)

home starts—

Trends · ATH

• ATH are 1-4 vs BOS this season (5 games).
• ATH are 1-9 in their last 10 games.
• ATH are 2-8 in their last 10 away games.
• ATH have lost 9 straight.
• ATH are 2-3 in J.T. Ginn's last 5 starts.
• ATH are 1-4 in J.T. Ginn's last 5 away starts.
• ATH average 5.8 runs/game in J.T. Ginn's last 5 starts.
• ATH average 4.4 runs/game in J.T. Ginn's last 5 away starts.

Over / Under

• ATH are 6-4 to the over in their last 10 games.
• ATH are 6-4 to the over in their last 10 away games.
• ATH are 2-3 to the over in J.T. Ginn's last 5 starts.
• ATH are 1-2 to the over in J.T. Ginn's last 3 away starts.

Trends · BOS

• BOS are 4-1 vs ATH this season (5 games).
• BOS are 9-1 in their last 10 games.
• BOS are 7-3 in their last 10 home games.
• BOS have won 9 straight.
• BOS are 0-5 in Brayan Bello's last 5 starts.
• BOS are 0-3 in Brayan Bello's last 3 home starts.
• BOS average 1.6 runs/game in Brayan Bello's last 5 starts.
• BOS average 3.0 runs/game in Brayan Bello's last 3 home starts.

Over / Under

• BOS are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 games.
• BOS are 6-4 to the over in their last 10 home games.

Weather · Hot

91°F, Wind 15 mph

Flags · 6

• ATH bullpen elevated (5.0 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
• ATH — J.T. Ginn: 2026-07-12: 8 ER in 4.1 IP (ERA equiv 18) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
• ATH — J.T. Ginn: recent opponents high-K: CHW 27%, CIN 31% — K stats may be inflated vs strikeout-prone lineups
• BOS — Brayan Bello: 66 days since last start (2026-06-04) — may not be fully stretched out
• BOS — Brayan Bello: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-08-06, 2026-08-04 — may affect pitch count or availability
• BOS — Brayan Bello: last start: 108 pitches — high pitch count, may be on shorter leash today

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Grant Holmes R

xERA4.89 (below avg)ERA3.45K%21.2 (avg)

More Stats

HH%40.4 (below avg)Barrel%14.9 (below avg)IP/gs5.2 IP/gsH/gs5.3PC/gs77BB%7.6

NYY vs RHP

wRC+66 (poor)K%29.3 (poor)HH%44.7 (above avg)Whiff%27.7

Cam Schlittler R

xERA2.44 (elite)ERA2.70K%39.4 (elite)

More Stats

HH%43.8 (below avg)Barrel%9.4 (avg)IP/gs5.6 IP/gsH/gs3.0PC/gs92BB%9.1

ATL vs RHP

wRC+104 (avg)K%21.4 (avg)HH%41.2 (above avg)Whiff%21.5

Bullpens · Last 12

ATL

xERA 3.97 (avg)ERA 5.182d stress Normal (3.7 IP/1g)

NYY

xERA 3.91 (avg)ERA 4.942d stress Normal (3.7 IP/1g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalATL+134+1.5 (-160)O8.5 (-102)NYY-150-1.5 (+150)U8.5 (-113)

Grant Holmes · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 4vs W6.07255100

Jul 30vs W4.26945233

Jul 24@ W5.09156233

Jul 19vs W5.07427233

Jul 8@ W5.09053100

Cam Schlittler · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 3vs L3.08364544

Jul 29@ L6.19382111

Jul 24@ W7.199123000

Jul 19vs L4.19886033

Jul 11@ W6.29964422

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Grant Holmes

IPERAKHBB

vs NYY6.04.502.07.02.0(1)

at NYY—

Cam Schlittler

IPERAKHBB

vs ATL—

home starts3.710.546.35.72.0(3)

Trends · ATL

• ATL are 0-2 vs NYY this season (2 games).
• ATL are 8-2 in their last 10 games.
• ATL are 4-6 in their last 10 away games.
• ATL are 5-0 in Grant Holmes's last 5 starts.
• ATL are 3-2 in Grant Holmes's last 5 away starts.
• ATL average 5.4 runs/game in Grant Holmes's last 5 starts.
• ATL average 4.6 runs/game in Grant Holmes's last 5 away starts.

Over / Under

• ATL are 3-7 to the over in their last 10 games.
• ATL are 3-7 to the over in their last 10 away games.
• ATL are 2-3 to the over in Grant Holmes's last 5 starts.
• ATL are 1-1 to the over in Grant Holmes's last 2 away starts.

Trends · NYY

• NYY are 2-0 vs ATL this season (2 games).
• NYY are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
• NYY are 6-4 in their last 10 home games.
• NYY are 1-4 in Cam Schlittler's last 5 starts.
• NYY are 1-4 in Cam Schlittler's last 5 home starts.
• NYY average 3.0 runs/game in Cam Schlittler's last 5 starts.
• NYY average 3.4 runs/game in Cam Schlittler's last 5 home starts.

Over / Under

• NYY are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 games.
• NYY are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 home games.
• NYY are 2-3 to the over in Cam Schlittler's last 5 starts.
• NYY are 2-0 to the over in Cam Schlittler's last 2 home starts.

Flags · 3

• ATL — Grant Holmes: Barrel% 15% — high hard contact rate, elevated home run risk
• ATL — Grant Holmes: last start: 72 pitches — short outing, possible injury concern or early hook
• NYY — Cam Schlittler: 2026-08-03: 4 ER in 3.0 IP (ERA equiv 12) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Sean Manaea L

xERA5.51 (poor)ERA2.50K%18.4 (avg)

More Stats

HH%41.2 (below avg)Barrel%13.7 (below avg)IP/gs6.0 IP/gsH/gs6.0PC/gs91BB%11.8

PIT vs LHP

wRC+58 (poor)K%23.5 (avg)HH%25.6 (poor)Whiff%25.7

Jared Jones R

xERA3.15 (good)ERA3.94K%21.2 (avg)

More Stats

HH%41.7 (below avg)Barrel%10.4 (avg)IP/gs5.3 IP/gsH/gs4.7PC/gs81BB%6.1

NYM vs RHP

wRC+93 (below avg)K%24.5 (below avg)HH%41.1 (above avg)Whiff%22.7

Bullpens · Last 12

NYM

xERA 2.44 (elite)ERA 2.062d stress Elevated (4.0 IP/1g)

PIT

xERA 2.46 (elite)ERA 2.102d stress Stressed (6.0 IP/1g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalNYM+122+1.5 (-170)O8.0 (-110)PIT-137-1.5 (+155)U8.0 (-103)

Sean Manaea · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 4@ W6.010077522

Jul 29vs W6.08945222

Jul 24vs L6.08436211

Jul 18@ L4.29977244

Jul 9vs W7.09766123

Jared Jones · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 4@ L4.08348133

Jul 29vs L6.07754233

Jul 24vs L6.08352111

Jul 18@ W5.07493111

Jul 8vs L6.07780000

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Jared Jones

IPERAKHBB

vs NYM—

home starts6.02.006.02.01.0(3)

Trends · NYM

• NYM are 3-1 vs PIT this season (4 games).
• NYM are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
• NYM are 7-3 in their last 10 away games.
• NYM have won 4 straight.
• NYM are 3-2 in Sean Manaea's last 5 starts.
• NYM are 2-3 in Sean Manaea's last 5 away starts.
• NYM average 3.8 runs/game in Sean Manaea's last 5 starts.
• NYM average 3.4 runs/game in Sean Manaea's last 5 away starts.

Over / Under

• NYM are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 games.
• NYM are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 away games.
• NYM are 1-4 to the over in Sean Manaea's last 5 starts.
• NYM are 1-2 to the over in Sean Manaea's last 3 away starts.

Trends · PIT

• PIT are 1-3 vs NYM this season (4 games).
• PIT are 2-8 in their last 10 games.
• PIT are 5-5 in their last 10 home games.
• PIT have lost 4 straight.
• PIT are 1-4 in Jared Jones's last 5 starts.
• PIT are 1-4 in Jared Jones's last 5 home starts.
• PIT average 2.2 runs/game in Jared Jones's last 5 starts.
• PIT average 3.6 runs/game in Jared Jones's last 5 home starts.

Over / Under

• PIT are 3-7 to the over in their last 10 games.
• PIT are 8-2 to the over in their last 10 home games.
• PIT are 1-4 to the over in Jared Jones's last 5 starts.
• PIT are 1-2 to the over in Jared Jones's last 3 home starts.

Flags · 4

• NYM — Sean Manaea: Barrel% 14% — high hard contact rate, elevated home run risk
• NYM bullpen elevated (4.0 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
• PIT bullpen stressed (6.0 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
• NYM — Sean Manaea: recent opponents low-K: LAD 18%, ATL 17% — recent opponents make less contact; today's lineup may be tougher

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Shane Bieber R

xERA5.10 (below avg)ERA4.05K%14.8 (below avg)

More Stats

HH%31.8 (good)Barrel%9.1 (avg)IP/gs4.4 IP/gsH/gs4.3PC/gs72BB%13.1

PHI vs RHP

wRC+113 (avg)K%17.8 (above avg)HH%43.7 (above avg)Whiff%19.0

Jesus Luzardo L

xERA3.12 (good)ERA2.95K%25.3 (good)

More Stats

HH%37.0 (avg)Barrel%9.3 (avg)IP/gs7.1 IP/gsH/gs4.3PC/gs101BB%7.2

TOR vs LHP

wRC+54 (poor)K%19.7 (above avg)HH%26.3 (poor)Whiff%20.0

Bullpens · Last 12

TOR

xERA 3.85 (avg)ERA 3.562d stress Elevated (4.3 IP/1g)

PHI

xERA 3.11 (good)ERA 4.382d stress Normal (3.7 IP/1g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalTOR+168+1.5 (-120)O8.0 (-115)PHI-195-1.5 (+114)U8.0 (-104)

Shane Bieber · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 3@ W5.28769211

Jul 28@ L0.24201644

Jul 23vs W7.08633011

Jul 18vs W6.08063200

Jul 10@ W4.29746322

Jesus Luzardo · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 4vs W8.09874200

Jul 29@ L6.110056366

Jul 24vs L7.010594111

Jul 18vs W5.09072211

Jul 9@ W7.096112200

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Jesus Luzardo

IPERAKHBB

vs TOR3.711.105.06.53.0(2)

home starts6.70.907.73.31.7(3)

Trends · TOR

• TOR are 2-2 vs PHI this season (4 games).
• TOR are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
• TOR are 6-4 in their last 10 away games.
• TOR are 4-1 in Shane Bieber's last 5 starts.
• TOR are 2-2 in Shane Bieber's last 4 away starts.
• TOR average 3.6 runs/game in Shane Bieber's last 5 starts.
• TOR average 3.5 runs/game in Shane Bieber's last 4 away starts.

Over / Under

• TOR are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 games.
• TOR are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 away games.
• TOR are 1-4 to the over in Shane Bieber's last 5 starts.
• TOR are 1-2 to the over in Shane Bieber's last 3 away starts.

Trends · PHI

• PHI are 2-2 vs TOR this season (4 games).
• PHI are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
• PHI are 4-6 in their last 10 home games.
• PHI are 3-2 in Jesus Luzardo's last 5 starts.
• PHI are 4-1 in Jesus Luzardo's last 5 home starts.
• PHI average 3.6 runs/game in Jesus Luzardo's last 5 starts.
• PHI average 5.4 runs/game in Jesus Luzardo's last 5 home starts.

Over / Under

• PHI are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 games.
• PHI are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 home games.
• PHI are 1-4 to the over in Jesus Luzardo's last 5 starts.
• PHI are 0-3 to the over in Jesus Luzardo's last 3 home starts.

Flags · 4

• TOR — Shane Bieber: BB% 13% — command concerns, elevated walk rate
• TOR bullpen elevated (4.3 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
• TOR — Shane Bieber: 2026-07-28: 4 ER in 0.2 IP skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
• PHI — Jesus Luzardo: 2026-07-29: 6 ER in 6.1 IP (ERA equiv 9) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

G. Rodriguez R

xERA5.91 (poor)ERA5.06K%22.7 (avg)

More Stats

HH%35.6 (avg)Barrel%15.6 (poor)IP/gs5.3 IP/gsH/gs4.7PC/gs92BB%7.6

MIA vs RHP

wRC+101 (avg)K%20.4 (avg)HH%37.0 (avg)Whiff%24.1

Ryan Gusto R

xERA3.67 (good)ERA5.02K%20.0 (avg)

More Stats

HH%53.3 (poor)Barrel%6.7 (good)IP/gs4.8 IP/gsH/gs5.3PC/gs73BB%5.0

LAA vs RHP

wRC+70 (poor)K%25.4 (below avg)HH%37.6 (avg)Whiff%26.6

Bullpens · Last 12

LAA

xERA 3.68 (good)ERA 3.512d stress Elevated (5.0 IP/1g)

MIA

xERA 3.85 (avg)ERA 4.042d stress Elevated (5.0 IP/1g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalLAA+134+1.5 (-160)O8.5 (-104)MIA-150-1.5 (+146)U8.5 (-108)

G. Rodriguez · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 4@ L7.09863122

Jul 29vs L5.09865222

Jul 24@ L4.08036255

Jul 18vs L4.08737166

Jul 10@ W5.17906133

Ryan Gusto · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 4@ L6.08355011

Jul 29vs W5.07939266

Jul 24vs L3.15742111

Jul 21@ L2.0*2420000

Jul 18@ L2.1*3823012

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Ryan Gusto

IPERAKHBB

vs LAA5.07.206.55.00.5(2)

home starts4.07.783.55.51.5(2)

Trends · LAA

• LAA are 1-1 vs MIA this season (2 games).
• LAA are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
• LAA are 3-7 in their last 10 away games.
• LAA are 1-4 in G. Rodriguez's last 5 starts.
• LAA are 2-2 in G. Rodriguez's last 4 away starts.
• LAA average 3.0 runs/game in G. Rodriguez's last 5 starts.
• LAA average 4.5 runs/game in G. Rodriguez's last 4 away starts.

Over / Under

• LAA are 3-7 to the over in their last 10 games.
• LAA are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 away games.
• LAA are 2-3 to the over in G. Rodriguez's last 5 starts.
• LAA are 1-2 to the over in G. Rodriguez's last 3 away starts.

Trends · MIA

• MIA are 1-1 vs LAA this season (2 games).
• MIA are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
• MIA are 4-6 in their last 10 home games.
• MIA are 2-3 in Ryan Gusto's last 5 starts.
• MIA are 3-2 in Ryan Gusto's last 5 home starts.
• MIA average 4.2 runs/game in Ryan Gusto's last 5 starts.
• MIA average 4.0 runs/game in Ryan Gusto's last 5 home starts.

Over / Under

• MIA are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 games.
• MIA are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 home games.
• MIA are 2-2 to the over in Ryan Gusto's last 4 starts.

Flags · 8

• LAA — G. Rodriguez: Barrel% 16% — high hard contact rate, elevated home run risk
• MIA — Ryan Gusto: HH% 53% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
• LAA bullpen elevated (5.0 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
• MIA bullpen elevated (5.0 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
• LAA — G. Rodriguez: 2026-07-24: 5 ER in 4.0 IP (ERA equiv 11) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
• MIA — Ryan Gusto: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-07-21, 2026-07-18 — may affect pitch count or availability
• MIA — Ryan Gusto: 2026-07-29: 6 ER in 5.0 IP (ERA equiv 11) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
• MIA — Ryan Gusto: recent opponents low-K: SDP 19%, PHI 18% — recent opponents make less contact; today's lineup may be tougher

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Matthew Boyd L

xERA3.79 (avg)ERA2.18K%14.1 (below avg)

More Stats

HH%24.2 (elite)Barrel%9.1 (avg)IP/gs6.9 IP/gsH/gs6.7PC/gs93BB%7.1

KCR vs LHP

wRC+103 (avg)K%21.1 (avg)HH%40.0 (above avg)Whiff%24.2

Randy Dobnak R

xERA3.84 (avg)ERA0.53K%12.3 (below avg)

More Stats

HH%46.2 (poor)Barrel%5.8 (good)IP/gs5.7 IP/gsH/gs3.7PC/gs89BB%7.7

CHC vs RHP

wRC+89 (below avg)K%20.2 (avg)HH%41.8 (above avg)Whiff%19.2

Bullpens · Last 12

CHC

xERA 3.54 (good)ERA 2.932d stress Fresh (2.0 IP/1g)

KCR

xERA 4.76 (below avg)ERA 4.972d stress Stressed (7.3 IP/1g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalCHC-162-1.5 (-102)O10.0 (-115)KCR+140+1.5 (-110)U10.0 (-105)

Matthew Boyd · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 3vs W6.29239145

Jul 29@ L7.08954200

Jul 24@ W7.09747311

Jul 18vs W6.09143111

Jul 12@ W6.19236144

Randy Dobnak · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 4vs W5.09013311

Jul 29@ W7.010144100

Jul 23@ L5.07634100

Jul 18vs W4.19634411

Jul 8@ L5.2*9523300

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Matthew Boyd

IPERAKHBB

vs KCR7.00.006.04.01.0(1)

at KCR—

Randy Dobnak

IPERAKHBB

vs CHC—

home starts4.51.982.03.53.5(2)

Trends · CHC

• CHC are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
• CHC are 8-2 in their last 10 away games.
• CHC have won 5 straight.
• CHC are 4-1 in Matthew Boyd's last 5 starts.
• CHC are 4-1 in Matthew Boyd's last 5 away starts.
• CHC average 5.8 runs/game in Matthew Boyd's last 5 starts.
• CHC average 4.4 runs/game in Matthew Boyd's last 5 away starts.

Over / Under

• CHC are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 games.
• CHC are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 away games.
• CHC are 2-3 to the over in Matthew Boyd's last 5 starts.
• CHC are 1-2 to the over in Matthew Boyd's last 3 away starts.

Trends · KCR

• KCR are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
• KCR are 7-3 in their last 10 home games.
• KCR are 3-1 in Randy Dobnak's last 4 starts.
• KCR are 2-0 in Randy Dobnak's last 2 home starts.
• KCR average 5.2 runs/game in Randy Dobnak's last 4 starts.
• KCR average 7.0 runs/game in Randy Dobnak's last 2 home starts.

Over / Under

• KCR are 2-8 to the over in their last 10 games.
• KCR are 3-7 to the over in their last 10 home games.
• KCR are 2-3 to the over in Randy Dobnak's last 5 starts.
• KCR are 1-1 to the over in Randy Dobnak's last 2 home starts.

Weather · Hot, Windy

101°F, Wind 18 mph

Flags · 6

• KCR — Randy Dobnak: HH% 46% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
• CHC bullpen fresh (2.0 IP over 1g) — manager may hook starter early; lean SP K/outs UNDER
• KCR bullpen stressed (7.3 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
• KCR — Randy Dobnak: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-07-08, 2026-07-02 — may affect pitch count or availability
• KCR — Randy Dobnak: recent opponents low-K: DET 19%, MIN 16%, MIN 16% — recent opponents make less contact; today's lineup may be tougher
• WEATHER: wind: Out 18 mph — factor into total and HR expectations

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Joey Cantillo L

xERA3.92 (avg)ERA4.97K%27.9 (good)

More Stats

HH%55.0 (poor)Barrel%12.5 (below avg)IP/gs4.2 IP/gsH/gs6.3PC/gs81BB%6.6

CHW vs LHP

wRC+103 (avg)K%24.2 (below avg)HH%40.8 (above avg)Whiff%22.9

Davis Martin R

xERA5.36 (poor)ERA9.56K%13.7 (below avg)

More Stats

HH%44.6 (below avg)Barrel%7.1 (good)IP/gs5.3 IP/gsH/gs7.0PC/gs95BB%5.5

CLE vs RHP

wRC+77 (poor)K%20.7 (avg)HH%29.9 (poor)Whiff%22.4

Bullpens · Last 12

CLE

xERA 3.84 (avg)ERA 4.932d stress Fresh (2.0 IP/1g)

CHW

xERA 3.30 (good)ERA 2.532d stress Stressed (8.7 IP/1g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalCLE-105-1.5 (+153)O8.5 (-110)CHW+108+1.5 (-154)U8.5 (-105)

Joey Cantillo · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 4vs L5.08157225

Jul 29@ W4.08984100

Jul 24@ L3.27448155

Jul 19vs L5.08077344

Jul 12@ W5.08596211

Davis Martin · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 4@ L5.091110299

Jul 29vs W6.010665244

Jul 24vs L5.08836044

Jul 18@ L5.28554211

Jul 8vs L4.08426255

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Joey Cantillo

IPERAKHBB

vs CHW5.24.374.55.51.0(2)

at CHW5.24.374.55.51.0(2)

Davis Martin

IPERAKHBB

vs CLE4.44.811.75.33.0(3)

home starts5.07.803.75.71.3(3)

Trends · CLE

• CLE are 4-4 vs CHW this season (8 games).
• CLE are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
• CLE are 5-5 in their last 10 away games.
• CLE are 2-3 in Joey Cantillo's last 5 starts.
• CLE are 3-2 in Joey Cantillo's last 5 away starts.
• CLE average 3.4 runs/game in Joey Cantillo's last 5 starts.
• CLE average 4.6 runs/game in Joey Cantillo's last 5 away starts.

Over / Under

• CLE are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 games.
• CLE are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 away games.
• CLE are 3-2 to the over in Joey Cantillo's last 5 starts.
• CLE are 2-1 to the over in Joey Cantillo's last 3 away starts.

Trends · CHW

• CHW are 4-4 vs CLE this season (8 games).
• CHW are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
• CHW are 5-5 in their last 10 home games.
• CHW have lost 4 straight.
• CHW are 1-4 in Davis Martin's last 5 starts.
• CHW are 3-2 in Davis Martin's last 5 home starts.
• CHW average 2.6 runs/game in Davis Martin's last 5 starts.
• CHW average 3.0 runs/game in Davis Martin's last 5 home starts.

Over / Under

• CHW are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 games.
• CHW are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 home games.
• CHW are 3-2 to the over in Davis Martin's last 5 starts.
• CHW are 2-1 to the over in Davis Martin's last 3 home starts.

Weather

90°F, Wind 15 mph

Flags · 6

• CLE — Joey Cantillo: HH% 55% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
• CLE — Joey Cantillo: Barrel% 12% — high hard contact rate, elevated home run risk
• CHW — Davis Martin: HH% 45% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
• CLE bullpen fresh (2.0 IP over 1g) — manager may hook starter early; lean SP K/outs UNDER
• CHW bullpen stressed (8.7 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
• CLE — Joey Cantillo: 2026-07-24: 5 ER in 3.2 IP (ERA equiv 14) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Connor Prielipp L

xERA3.52 (good)ERA3.94K%25.4 (good)

More Stats

HH%47.5 (poor)Barrel%5.0 (elite)IP/gs5.3 IP/gsH/gs3.3PC/gs81BB%11.1

MIL vs LHP

wRC+109 (avg)K%31.5 (poor)HH%42.9 (above avg)Whiff%31.6

J. Misiorowski R

xERA1.09 (elite)ERA1.69K%48.3 (elite)

More Stats

HH%37.0 (avg)Barrel%3.7 (elite)IP/gs5.3 IP/gsH/gs2.3PC/gs77BB%3.5

MIN vs RHP

wRC+88 (below avg)K%16.3 (above avg)HH%43.7 (above avg)Whiff%19.4

Bullpens · Last 12

MIN

xERA 4.19 (avg)ERA 3.632d stress Elevated (4.0 IP/1g)

MIL

xERA 3.02 (good)ERA 4.252d stress Elevated (4.0 IP/1g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalMIN+200+1.5 (-105)O7.5 (+102)MIL-235-1.5 (-104)U7.5 (-115)

Connor Prielipp · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 1@ L5.18854433

Jul 26vs W5.27252111

Jul 8vs W5.08364233

Jun 28vs W6.093106022

Jun 19@ L6.09749336

J. Misiorowski · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 2@ L7.083102122

Jul 26vs W5.083121011

Jul 20vs W4.06564101

Jul 7@ W7.0103113033

Jul 2vs L5.082105015

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Connor Prielipp

IPERAKHBB

vs MIL6.01.508.03.02.0(1)

at MIL—

J. Misiorowski

IPERAKHBB

vs MIN6.03.006.01.01.0(1)

home starts4.71.299.33.30.3(3)

Trends · MIN

• MIN are 2-2 vs MIL this season (4 games).
• MIN are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
• MIN are 5-5 in their last 10 away games.
• MIN are 3-2 in Connor Prielipp's last 5 starts.
• MIN are 1-4 in Connor Prielipp's last 5 away starts.
• MIN average 5.6 runs/game in Connor Prielipp's last 5 starts.
• MIN average 4.4 runs/game in Connor Prielipp's last 5 away starts.

Over / Under

• MIN are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 games.
• MIN are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 away games.
• MIN are 2-3 to the over in Connor Prielipp's last 5 starts.

Trends · MIL

• MIL are 2-2 vs MIN this season (4 games).
• MIL are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
• MIL are 6-4 in their last 10 home games.
• MIL are 3-2 in J. Misiorowski's last 5 starts.
• MIL are 4-1 in J. Misiorowski's last 5 home starts.
• MIL average 5.0 runs/game in J. Misiorowski's last 5 starts.
• MIL average 6.6 runs/game in J. Misiorowski's last 5 home starts.

Over / Under

• MIL are 3-7 to the over in their last 10 games.
• MIL are 2-8 to the over in their last 10 home games.
• MIL are 2-3 to the over in J. Misiorowski's last 5 starts.
• MIL are 1-2 to the over in J. Misiorowski's last 3 home starts.

Flags · 4

• MIN — Connor Prielipp: HH% 48% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
• MIN bullpen elevated (4.0 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
• MIL bullpen elevated (4.0 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
• MIL — J. Misiorowski: recent opponents high-K: COL 26%, LAA 25% — K stats may be inflated vs strikeout-prone lineups

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Michael Lorenzen R

xERA6.81 (poor)ERA13.50K%12.3 (below avg)

More Stats

HH%46.7 (poor)Barrel%13.3 (below avg)IP/gs3.6 IP/gsH/gs7.3PC/gs83BB%8.8

STL vs RHP

wRC+96 (avg)K%20.6 (avg)HH%41.9 (above avg)Whiff%21.0

Michael McGreevy R

xERA7.11 (poor)ERA9.49K%16.7 (below avg)

More Stats

HH%61.4 (poor)Barrel%15.9 (poor)IP/gs4.1 IP/gsH/gs6.3PC/gs83BB%10.0

COL vs RHP

wRC+99 (avg)K%25.6 (below avg)HH%34.1 (below avg)Whiff%25.4

Bullpens · Last 12

COL

xERA 3.95 (avg)ERA 4.692d stress Normal (2.7 IP/1g)

STL

xERA 3.44 (good)ERA 4.182d stress Normal (4.0 IP/1g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalCOL+140+1.5 (-140)O9.5 (+100)STL-164-1.5 (+130)U9.0 (-105)

Michael Lorenzen · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 3vs L3.07507377

Jul 28@ L4.09328133

Jul 21vs W3.28057166

Jul 12@ L5.07915311

Jul 7@ W6.09556323

Michael McGreevy · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 3@ W4.19154122

Jul 28vs L1.26328277

Jul 23vs L6.19537344

Jul 17@ W6.19456112

Jul 8vs W6.19065111

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Michael Lorenzen

IPERAKHBB

vs STL2.228.642.07.01.0(1)

at STL2.228.642.07.01.0(1)

Michael McGreevy

IPERAKHBB

vs COL6.52.771.57.00.0(2)

home starts4.58.063.76.72.0(3)

Trends · COL

• COL are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
• COL are 2-8 in their last 10 away games.
• COL have lost 4 straight.
• COL are 2-3 in Michael Lorenzen's last 5 starts.
• COL are 2-3 in Michael Lorenzen's last 5 away starts.
• COL average 5.8 runs/game in Michael Lorenzen's last 5 starts.
• COL average 4.8 runs/game in Michael Lorenzen's last 5 away starts.

Over / Under

• COL are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 games.
• COL are 3-7 to the over in their last 10 away games.
• COL are 3-2 to the over in Michael Lorenzen's last 5 starts.
• COL are 1-2 to the over in Michael Lorenzen's last 3 away starts.

Trends · STL

• STL are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
• STL are 3-7 in their last 10 home games.
• STL are 3-2 in Michael McGreevy's last 5 starts.
• STL are 1-4 in Michael McGreevy's last 5 home starts.
• STL average 6.2 runs/game in Michael McGreevy's last 5 starts.
• STL average 2.6 runs/game in Michael McGreevy's last 5 home starts.

Over / Under

• STL are 2-8 to the over in their last 10 games.
• STL are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 home games.
• STL are 3-2 to the over in Michael McGreevy's last 5 starts.
• STL are 2-1 to the over in Michael McGreevy's last 3 home starts.

Weather · Hot

95°F, Wind 15 mph

Flags · 6

• COL — Michael Lorenzen: HH% 47% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
• COL — Michael Lorenzen: Barrel% 13% — high hard contact rate, elevated home run risk
• COL — Michael Lorenzen: avg 3.6 IP/gs — short outings, bullpen likely needed early
• STL — Michael McGreevy: HH% 61% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
• STL — Michael McGreevy: Barrel% 16% — high hard contact rate, elevated home run risk
• COL — Michael Lorenzen: last start: 75 pitches — short outing, possible injury concern or early hook

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Cade Povich L

xERA5.01 (below avg)ERA5.54K%21.1 (avg)

More Stats

HH%48.7 (poor)Barrel%10.3 (avg)IP/gs4.3 IP/gsH/gs5.7PC/gs69BB%8.8

TEX vs LHP

wRC+70 (poor)K%27.7 (below avg)HH%42.0 (above avg)Whiff%27.1

Kumar Rocker R

xERA2.94 (elite)ERA2.50K%24.7 (good)

More Stats

HH%26.5 (elite)Barrel%4.1 (elite)IP/gs6.0 IP/gsH/gs5.0PC/gs84BB%8.2

BAL vs RHP

wRC+70 (poor)K%23.6 (avg)HH%38.3 (avg)Whiff%23.1

Bullpens · Last 12

BAL

xERA 3.14 (good)ERA 3.952d stress Fresh (0.0 IP/1g)

TEX

xERA 3.94 (avg)ERA 4.852d stress Normal (3.7 IP/1g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalBAL+116+1.5 (-170)O8.5 (-106)TEX-134-1.5 (+158)U8.5 (-110)

Cade Povich · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 4vs W6.08877100

May 7@ L3.04313233

May 1@ L4.07747255

Apr 12vs W6.29755011

Apr 5@ L5.2*8724322

Kumar Rocker · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 2@ L5.188510233

Jul 27vs W6.28874222

Jul 21vs W6.07561200

Jul 11vs L5.29168277

Jul 5vs L4.18545133

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Kumar Rocker

IPERAKHBB

vs BAL—

home starts5.84.666.34.32.0(3)

Trends · BAL

• BAL are 1-3 vs TEX this season (4 games).
• BAL are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
• BAL are 5-5 in their last 10 away games.
• BAL are 2-2 in Cade Povich's last 4 starts.
• BAL are 0-2 in Cade Povich's last 2 away starts.
• BAL average 3.5 runs/game in Cade Povich's last 4 starts.
• BAL average 2.5 runs/game in Cade Povich's last 2 away starts.

Over / Under

• BAL are 3-7 to the over in their last 10 games.
• BAL are 3-7 to the over in their last 10 away games.

Trends · TEX

• TEX are 3-1 vs BAL this season (4 games).
• TEX are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
• TEX are 7-3 in their last 10 home games.
• TEX are 2-3 in Kumar Rocker's last 5 starts.
• TEX are 2-3 in Kumar Rocker's last 5 home starts.
• TEX average 5.2 runs/game in Kumar Rocker's last 5 starts.
• TEX average 5.0 runs/game in Kumar Rocker's last 5 home starts.

Over / Under

• TEX are 3-7 to the over in their last 10 games.
• TEX are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 home games.
• TEX are 4-1 to the over in Kumar Rocker's last 5 starts.
• TEX are 3-0 to the over in Kumar Rocker's last 3 home starts.

Weather · Hot

100°F, Wind 11 mph

Flags · 4

• BAL — Cade Povich: HH% 49% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
• BAL bullpen fresh (0.0 IP over 1g) — manager may hook starter early; lean SP K/outs UNDER
• BAL — Cade Povich: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-04-05 — may affect pitch count or availability
• BAL — Cade Povich: 2026-05-01: 5 ER in 4.0 IP (ERA equiv 11) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Troy Melton R

xERA3.15 (good)ERA0.95K%19.2 (avg)

More Stats

HH%27.5 (elite)Barrel%3.9 (elite)IP/gs6.3 IP/gsH/gs3.7PC/gs93BB%11.0

SFG vs RHP

wRC+112 (avg)K%17.6 (above avg)HH%29.8 (poor)Whiff%19.1

Logan Webb R

xERA2.95 (elite)ERA3.00K%22.2 (avg)

More Stats

HH%34.6 (good)Barrel%5.8 (good)IP/gs6.0 IP/gsH/gs5.3PC/gs97BB%5.6

DET vs RHP

wRC+157 (elite)K%18.9 (above avg)HH%38.6 (avg)Whiff%18.9

Bullpens · Last 12

DET

xERA 3.73 (good)ERA 4.142d stress Fresh (2.0 IP/1g)

SFG

xERA 4.15 (avg)ERA 2.592d stress Stressed (8.0 IP/1g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalDET-115-1.5 (+150)O7.5 (-105)SFG+102+1.5 (-178)U7.5 (-110)

Troy Melton · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 4@ W7.09743200

Jul 28vs W7.09253200

Jul 23vs W5.09055422

Jul 17@ W5.29494411

Jul 8vs W5.19194101

Logan Webb · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 3@ W6.09685100

Jul 29vs W6.09645122

Jul 24vs W6.09946244

Jul 18@ L6.210052133

Jul 8vs L7.010625255

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Logan Webb

IPERAKHBB

vs DET6.04.5010.07.01.0(1)

home starts6.35.213.35.31.7(3)

Trends · DET

• DET are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
• DET are 7-3 in their last 10 away games.
• DET are 5-0 in Troy Melton's last 5 starts.
• DET are 4-1 in Troy Melton's last 5 away starts.
• DET average 6.8 runs/game in Troy Melton's last 5 starts.
• DET average 5.2 runs/game in Troy Melton's last 5 away starts.

Over / Under

• DET are 6-4 to the over in their last 10 games.
• DET are 6-4 to the over in their last 10 away games.
• DET are 2-3 to the over in Troy Melton's last 5 starts.
• DET are 0-2 to the over in Troy Melton's last 2 away starts.

Trends · SFG

• SFG are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
• SFG are 7-3 in their last 10 home games.
• SFG are 3-2 in Logan Webb's last 5 starts.
• SFG are 4-1 in Logan Webb's last 5 home starts.
• SFG average 6.2 runs/game in Logan Webb's last 5 starts.
• SFG average 6.6 runs/game in Logan Webb's last 5 home starts.

Over / Under

• SFG are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 games.
• SFG are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 home games.
• SFG are 4-1 to the over in Logan Webb's last 5 starts.
• SFG are 3-0 to the over in Logan Webb's last 3 home starts.

Weather · Windy

79°F, Wind 16 mph

Flags · 4

• DET bullpen fresh (2.0 IP over 1g) — manager may hook starter early; lean SP K/outs UNDER
• SFG bullpen stressed (8.0 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
• SFG — Logan Webb: recent opponents high-K: LAA 25%, TEX 28% — K stats may be inflated vs strikeout-prone lineups
• WEATHER: wind: Out 16 mph — factor into total and HR expectations

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Justin Wrobleski L

xERA6.19 (poor)ERA7.02K%24.7 (good)

More Stats

HH%46.0 (poor)Barrel%18.0 (poor)IP/gs5.6 IP/gsH/gs6.3PC/gs94BB%5.5

ARI vs LHP

wRC+118 (above avg)K%24.0 (below avg)HH%36.2 (avg)Whiff%24.3

E. Rodriguez L

xERA3.34 (good)ERA3.20K%11.9 (poor)

More Stats

HH%30.0 (elite)Barrel%4.3 (elite)IP/gs6.6 IP/gsH/gs7.7PC/gs102BB%4.8

LAD vs LHP

wRC+126 (above avg)K%18.4 (above avg)HH%45.1 (elite)Whiff%20.0

Bullpens · Last 12

LAD

xERA 4.55 (below avg)ERA 6.492d stress Fresh (2.3 IP/1g)

ARI

xERA 4.07 (avg)ERA 6.002d stress Normal (3.3 IP/1g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalLAD-142-1.5 (+119)O9.0 (+100)ARI+130+1.5 (-135)U8.5 (+100)

Justin Wrobleski · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 3@ L4.19147377

Jul 28vs L6.010277055

Jul 21@ W6.18975111

Jul 7vs L7.09496211

Jun 30@ W7.0110117033

E. Rodriguez · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 4vs L5.2102411057

Jul 29@ W8.010525100

Jul 24@ W6.09847322

Jul 19vs W2.26837255

Jul 10@ W6.08757122

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Justin Wrobleski

IPERAKHBB

vs ARI6.00.004.06.00.0(1)

at ARI6.00.004.06.00.0(1)

E. Rodriguez

IPERAKHBB

vs LAD5.71.594.35.31.3(3)

home starts4.58.063.37.70.7(3)

Trends · LAD

• LAD are 5-6 vs ARI this season (11 games).
• LAD are 2-8 in their last 10 games.
• LAD are 4-6 in their last 10 away games.
• LAD have lost 7 straight.
• LAD are 2-3 in Justin Wrobleski's last 5 starts.
• LAD are 4-1 in Justin Wrobleski's last 5 away starts.
• LAD average 5.0 runs/game in Justin Wrobleski's last 5 starts.
• LAD average 7.2 runs/game in Justin Wrobleski's last 5 away starts.

Over / Under

• LAD are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 games.
• LAD are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 away games.
• LAD are 3-2 to the over in Justin Wrobleski's last 5 starts.
• LAD are 2-1 to the over in Justin Wrobleski's last 3 away starts.

Trends · ARI

• ARI are 6-5 vs LAD this season (11 games).
• ARI are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
• ARI are 7-3 in their last 10 home games.
• ARI are 4-1 in E. Rodriguez's last 5 starts.
• ARI are 3-2 in E. Rodriguez's last 5 home starts.
• ARI average 5.4 runs/game in E. Rodriguez's last 5 starts.
• ARI average 5.4 runs/game in E. Rodriguez's last 5 home starts.

Over / Under

• ARI are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 games.
• ARI are 6-4 to the over in their last 10 home games.
• ARI are 3-2 to the over in E. Rodriguez's last 5 starts.
• ARI are 2-1 to the over in E. Rodriguez's last 3 home starts.

Flags · 6

• LAD — Justin Wrobleski: HH% 46% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
• LAD — Justin Wrobleski: Barrel% 18% — high hard contact rate, elevated home run risk
• LAD bullpen fresh (2.3 IP over 1g) — manager may hook starter early; lean SP K/outs UNDER
• LAD — Justin Wrobleski: 2026-08-03: 7 ER in 4.1 IP (ERA equiv 15) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
• ARI — E. Rodriguez: last start: 102 pitches — high pitch count, may be on shorter leash today
• ARI — E. Rodriguez: 2026-08-04: 5 ER in 5.2 IP (ERA equiv 9) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Ian Seymour L

xERA2.61 (elite)ERA2.16K%30.8 (elite)

More Stats

HH%39.5 (avg)Barrel%11.6 (below avg)IP/gs16.7 IP/gsH/gs14.0PC/gs83BB%3.1

SEA vs LHP

wRC+95 (avg)K%23.4 (avg)HH%34.5 (below avg)Whiff%20.4

Emerson Hancock R

xERA2.87 (elite)ERA4.24K%18.7 (avg)

More Stats

HH%38.6 (avg)Barrel%7.0 (good)IP/gs5.7 IP/gsH/gs7.0PC/gs94BB%5.3

TBR vs RHP

wRC+118 (above avg)K%21.4 (avg)HH%37.6 (avg)Whiff%20.3

Bullpens · Last 12

TBR

xERA 2.73 (elite)ERA 3.042d stress Fresh (2.0 IP/1g)

SEA

xERA 4.33 (avg)ERA 5.942d stress Fresh (2.3 IP/1g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalTBR+108-1.5 (+184)O7.0 (-105)SEA-116-1.5 (+179)U7.0 (-112)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalTBR+100+0.5 (-160)O3.5 (-128)SEA-120-0.5 (+122)U3.5 (-102)

Team Totals

Full Game O/UF5 O/UTBR3.5 (+104/-130)1.5 (-105/-125)SEA3.5 (+100/-128)1.5 (-125/-105)

Ian Seymour · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 3@ W6.09097022

Jul 29vs W4.2*7142100

Jul 23@ L6.0*8775122

Jul 18@ L3.06142233

Jul 12vs L3.17836356

Emerson Hancock · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 4vs L6.09468234

Jul 29@ L5.09258133

Jul 22vs L6.09535122

Jul 12@ W1.21920100

Jul 5vs W7.09252200

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Ian Seymour

IPERAKHBB

vs SEA3.114.523.06.03.0(1)

at SEA—

Emerson Hancock

IPERAKHBB

vs TBR1.20.002.00.01.0(1)

home starts6.32.374.75.01.7(3)

Trends · TBR

• TBR are 3-1 vs SEA this season (4 games).
• TBR are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
• TBR are 7-3 in their last 10 away games.
• TBR have won 4 straight.
• TBR are 3-2 in Ian Seymour's last 5 starts.
• TBR are 2-1 in Ian Seymour's last 3 away starts.
• TBR average 6.4 runs/game in Ian Seymour's last 5 starts.
• TBR average 8.0 runs/game in Ian Seymour's last 3 away starts.

Over / Under

• TBR are 3-7 to the over in their last 10 games.
• TBR are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 away games.
• TBR are 1-4 to the over in Ian Seymour's last 5 starts.
• TBR are 1-2 to the over in Ian Seymour's last 3 away starts.

Trends · SEA

• SEA are 1-3 vs TBR this season (4 games).
• SEA are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
• SEA are 4-6 in their last 10 home games.
• SEA are 2-3 in Emerson Hancock's last 5 starts.
• SEA are 2-3 in Emerson Hancock's last 5 home starts.
• SEA average 3.4 runs/game in Emerson Hancock's last 5 starts.
• SEA average 2.2 runs/game in Emerson Hancock's last 5 home starts.

Over / Under

• SEA are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 games.
• SEA are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 home games.
• SEA are 1-3 to the over in Emerson Hancock's last 4 starts.

Weather

76°F, Wind 8 mph

Flags · 3

• TBR bullpen fresh (2.0 IP over 1g) — manager may hook starter early; lean SP K/outs UNDER
• SEA bullpen fresh (2.3 IP over 1g) — manager may hook starter early; lean SP K/outs UNDER
• TBR — Ian Seymour: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-07-29, 2026-07-23 — may affect pitch count or availability

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Cristian Javier R

xERA2.68 (elite)ERA2.25K%23.9 (good)

More Stats

HH%31.4 (good)Barrel%5.7 (good)IP/gs12.0 IP/gsH/gs11.0PC/gs58BB%0.0

SDP vs RHP

wRC+127 (above avg)K%18.6 (above avg)HH%36.1 (avg)Whiff%20.4

Randy Vasquez R

xERA2.41 (elite)ERA0.68K%4.2 (poor)

More Stats

HH%26.8 (elite)Barrel%2.4 (elite)IP/gs6.7 IP/gsH/gs3.0PC/gs61BB%8.3

HOU vs RHP

wRC+142 (elite)K%21.2 (avg)HH%40.2 (above avg)Whiff%24.7

Bullpens · Last 12

HOU

xERA 2.28 (elite)ERA 2.282d stress Elevated (4.3 IP/1g)

SDP

xERA 2.28 (elite)ERA 3.182d stress Elevated (4.0 IP/1g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalHOU+108-1.5 (+172)O8.0 (-105)SDP-116-1.5 (+168)U8.0 (-115)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalHOU-114-0.5 (+120)O4.5 (-106)SDP-110+0.5 (-156)U4.5 (-122)

Team Totals

Full Game O/UF5 O/UHOU3.5 (-125/+100)1.5 (-154/+120)SDP3.5 (-138/+110)1.5 (-154/+120)

Cristian Javier · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 3vs L6.08527033

Jul 27@ W5.0*7073000

Jul 19vs L1.0*2021000

Jul 12@ L3.06044333

Jul 8@ L1.0*3001200

Randy Vasquez · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 4@ W6.08012100

Jul 30vs L4.2*6513100

Jul 25@ W2.23701211

Jul 22@ L0.2*1914022

Jul 19@ W3.0*3223000

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Randy Vasquez

IPERAKHBB

vs HOU—

home starts4.09.003.08.02.0(1)

Trends · HOU

• HOU are 8-2 in their last 10 games.
• HOU are 7-3 in their last 10 away games.
• HOU are 1-4 in Cristian Javier's last 5 starts.
• HOU are 0-3 in Cristian Javier's last 3 away starts.
• HOU average 4.4 runs/game in Cristian Javier's last 5 starts.
• HOU average 3.3 runs/game in Cristian Javier's last 3 away starts.

Over / Under

• HOU are 7-3 to the over in their last 10 games.
• HOU are 7-3 to the over in their last 10 away games.
• HOU are 1-1 to the over in Cristian Javier's last 2 starts.

Trends · SDP

• SDP are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
• SDP are 7-3 in their last 10 home games.
• SDP are 3-2 in Randy Vasquez's last 5 starts.
• SDP are 2-3 in Randy Vasquez's last 5 home starts.
• SDP average 7.8 runs/game in Randy Vasquez's last 5 starts.
• SDP average 3.8 runs/game in Randy Vasquez's last 5 home starts.

Over / Under

• SDP are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 games.
• SDP are 6-4 to the over in their last 10 home games.
• SDP are 3-0 to the over in Randy Vasquez's last 3 starts.

Flags · 6

• HOU bullpen elevated (4.3 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
• SDP bullpen elevated (4.0 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
• HOU — Cristian Javier: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-07-27, 2026-07-19 — may affect pitch count or availability
• HOU — Cristian Javier: recent opponents high-K: COL 26%, TEX 28% — K stats may be inflated vs strikeout-prone lineups
• SDP — Randy Vasquez: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-07-30, 2026-07-22 — may affect pitch count or availability
• SDP — Randy Vasquez: 2026-07-02: 4 ER in 3.0 IP (ERA equiv 12) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA