MLB Game Overviews

AI Picks · 7 Bets · Aug 18

CLE Team Total o4.5 (-108)

Cleveland is at 130 wRC+ vs LHP over its last 6 and 121 over its last 12, an established elite mark against left-handers. Whisenhunt carries a 5.05 xERA and 8.03 ERA over his last 3 with a 15.9% walk rate and averages just 4.1 IP/gs, so Cleveland reaches a 4.33-xERA bullpen early. A team total of 4.5 underprices a top-tier lefty-mashing lineup against a wild, hittable starter.

Found at 4:06 AM ET

C. Whisenhunt u14.5 Outs (+146)

Whisenhunt has gone 3.1, 3.1, and 5.2 innings over his last 3 (10, 10, and 17 outs) for a 4.1 IP/gs average, and he walks 15.9% of hitters. Facing a Cleveland lineup at 130 wRC+ vs LHP over its last 6, he is a strong candidate to be knocked out early, making plus money on the under to 14.5 outs clear value.

Found at 4:06 AM ET

TBR Team Total o2.5 (+120)

Tampa Bay is at 158 wRC+ vs RHP over its last 6 and 141 over its last 12, an elite bat-on-ball lineup with just an 11.6% strikeout rate. Soriano's 1.15 ERA over his last 3 is a mirage against his 4.95 xERA, 47.6% hard-hit rate, and 12.9% walk rate, so heavy contact is coming early. Getting plus money on the Rays scoring 3 in the first five innings against a regression-bound starter is the play the full-game price does not offer.

Found at 4:06 AM ET

SDP Team Total o4.5 (+112)

San Diego is at 153 wRC+ vs LHP over its last 6 and 121 over its last 12, elite and confirmed by both windows. Thornton is a left-hander with a 4.70 xERA and a 10.4% strikeout rate over his last 3, so he cannot miss bats against a lineup built to punish lefties. Plus money on the Padres clearing 4.5 misprices a severe pitching-hitting mismatch.

Found at 4:06 AM ET

Tyler Mahle o4.5 Ks (-122)

Mahle has struck out 9, 9, and 7 over his last 3 starts with a 36.2% strikeout rate, averaging 8.3 punchouts per outing. His outs line sits at 16.5 (5.5 innings), giving him the length, and Minnesota's 21.8% strikeout rate vs RHP over its last 6 offers no protection. A line of 4.5 sits well below his current form.

Found at 4:06 AM ET

KCR Team Total u4.5 (+110)

Kansas City is at 52 wRC+ vs RHP over its last 6 and 70 over its last 12 — a genuinely dead offense from both windows. Perkins carries a 4.67 xERA over his last 3 despite an ugly ERA, meaning he has pitched better than his run totals show, and a 24.4% strikeout rate for the Royals against right-handers makes them easy outs. Plus money on this lineup staying under 4.5 is value.

Found at 4:06 AM ET

CHC Team Total o4.5 (-115)

Fedde has faced the Cubs three times and been hammered each outing — 7 ER, 3 ER, and 4 ER while lasting just 2.4 IP/gs for a 17.26 ERA against them. He walks 13.6% and is coming off 18 days with recent bullpen work, so his command is shaky, and Chicago sits at 111 wRC+ vs RHP over its last 6 and 108 over its last 12. A 4.5 team total is too low for a lineup that has repeatedly torched this exact arm.

Found at 4:06 AM ET

AI-generated · For entertainment only · Not financial advice

NYY @

BAL

6:35 PM · Oriole Park at Camden YardsHitter Friendly

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6

Carlos Rodon L

xERA3.85 (avg)ERA3.52K%27.7 (good)

More Stats

HH%37.5 (avg)Barrel%10.0 (avg)IP/gs5.1 IP/gsH/gs4.7PC/gs94BB%10.8

BAL vs LHP · last 6

wRC+152 (elite)12+145K%26.1 (below avg)HH%40.0 (above avg)Whiff%24.2

Shane Baz R

xERA3.08 (good)ERA4.15K%20.8 (avg)

More Stats

HH%46.3 (poor)Barrel%3.7 (elite)IP/gs5.8 IP/gsH/gs6.0PC/gs86BB%4.2

NYY vs RHP · last 6

wRC+74 (poor)12+82K%26.3 (below avg)HH%48.7 (elite)Whiff%22.3

Bullpens · Last 12

NYY

xERA 3.56 (good)ERA 3.732d stress Normal (2.7 IP/1g)

BAL

xERA 3.47 (good)ERA 4.352d stress Normal (3.0 IP/1g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalNYY-115-1.5 (+143)O8.5 (-115)BAL-102+1.5 (-165)U8.5 (-104)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalNYY-112-0.5 (+122)O4.5 (-120)BAL-110+0.5 (-160)U4.5 (-110)

Team Totals

Full Game O/UF5 O/UNYY4.5 (+100/-125)2.5 (+114/-145)BAL3.5 (-140/+116)2.5 (+120/-154)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UCarlos Rodon5.5 (+124 / -156)12.5 (+110 / -140)Shane Baz5.5 (-145 / +119)17.5 (-105 / -125)

Carlos Rodon · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 28@

L5.09661402

Jun 23@

W5.18756233

Jun 17vs

W5.09977133

Jun 10@

W6.09674333

Jun 4vs

W6.09672311

Shane Baz · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 12@

L3.06529155

Aug 7@

L8.09393122

Aug 1vs

L6.19946111

Jul 26vs

L4.19026212

Jul 20@

L6.07766014

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Carlos Rodon

IPERAKHBB

vs BAL6.52.087.53.01.0(2)

at BAL6.52.087.53.01.0(2)

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 20@

W7.09684111

Apr 29@

W6.09172122

Shane Baz

IPERAKHBB

vs NYY3.812.743.35.33.7(3)

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

May 4@

L5.29645556

Aug 19vs

L3.06537266

Apr 19vs

W3.18334455

home starts4.82.505.06.71.0(3)

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 1vs

L6.19946111

Jul 26vs

L4.19026212

Jul 12vs

W4.210498022

Trends · NYY

NYY are 5-2 vs BAL this season (7 games).
NYY are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
NYY are 5-5 in their last 10 away games.
NYY are 4-1 in Carlos Rodon's last 5 starts.
NYY are 3-2 in Carlos Rodon's last 5 away starts.
NYY average 5.6 runs/game in Carlos Rodon's last 5 starts.
NYY average 5.4 runs/game in Carlos Rodon's last 5 away starts.

Over / Under

NYY are 3-7 to the over in their last 10 games.
NYY are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 away games.

Trends · BAL

BAL are 2-5 vs NYY this season (7 games).
BAL are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
BAL are 5-5 in their last 10 home games.
BAL are 0-5 in Shane Baz's last 5 starts.
BAL are 1-4 in Shane Baz's last 5 home starts.
BAL average 2.6 runs/game in Shane Baz's last 5 starts.
BAL average 2.8 runs/game in Shane Baz's last 5 home starts.

Over / Under

BAL are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 games.
BAL are 2-8 to the over in their last 10 home games.
BAL are 1-4 to the over in Shane Baz's last 5 starts.
BAL are 0-3 to the over in Shane Baz's last 3 home starts.

Weather · Hitter Friendly

86°F, Overcast, Wind 7 mph NW

APF 106 — Hitter Friendly

Flags · 6

BAL — Shane Baz: HH% 46% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
NYY — Carlos Rodon: 51 days since last start (2026-06-28) — may not be fully stretched out
BAL — Shane Baz: last start: 65 pitches — short outing, possible injury concern or early hook
BAL — Shane Baz: 2026-08-12: 5 ER in 3.0 IP (ERA equiv 15) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
BAL — Shane Baz: high-K outing 2026-08-07 (9 Ks vs avg 5.0) — stuff can dominate; may not repeat
BAL — Shane Baz: low-K outing 2026-08-12 (2 Ks vs avg 5.0) — stuff was flat that day

AI Analysis

Both starters have opposite head-to-head histories against these lineups fighting their rate stats, and both offenses are cold over their last 6, leaving no clean side or total worth the price.

SFG @

CLE✓

6:40 PM · Progressive FieldNeutral Conditions

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6

C. Whisenhunt L

xERA5.05 (below avg)ERA8.03K%14.3 (below avg)

More Stats

HH%48.8 (poor)Barrel%7.0 (good)IP/gs4.1 IP/gsH/gs5.3PC/gs80BB%15.9

CLE vs LHP · last 6

wRC+130 (elite)12+121K%14.9 (elite)HH%38.3 (avg)Whiff%23.1

Foster Griffin L

xERA5.68 (poor)ERA7.53K%17.9 (avg)

More Stats

HH%48.0 (poor)Barrel%8.0 (good)IP/gs4.8 IP/gsH/gs6.7PC/gs83BB%7.5

SFG vs LHP · last 6

wRC+62 (poor)12+47K%13.6 (elite)HH%47.2 (elite)Whiff%24.6

Bullpens · Last 12

SFG

xERA 4.33 (avg)ERA 5.402d stress Elevated (4.7 IP/1g)

CLE

xERA 4.26 (avg)ERA 4.782d stress Normal (3.0 IP/1g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalSFG+160+1.5 (-135)O8.0 (-110)CLE-190-1.5 (+114)U8.0 (-105)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalSFG+150+0.5 (-102)O4.5 (-110)CLE-180-0.5 (-128)U4.5 (-118)

Team Totals

Full Game O/UF5 O/USFG3.5 (+108/-130)1.5 (-120/-110)CLE4.5 (-108/-118)2.5 (+100/-130)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UC. Whisenhunt3.5 (-115 / -108)14.5 (-192 / +146)Foster Griffin5.5 (-104 / -117)17.5 (-140 / +112)

C. Whisenhunt · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 11vs

W5.29624311

Aug 5@

L3.17045344

Jul 31@

L3.17437466

Jul 26vs

L5.07875244

Jul 9vs

W5.28743422

Foster Griffin · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 12@

W5.08334113

Aug 6vs

L4.08867255

Jul 31@

L5.17839266

Jul 25vs

W6.210826133

Jul 19@

W7.09728111

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Foster Griffin

IPERAKHBB

vs SFG6.01.505.06.00.0(1)

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 10@

L6.010056011

home starts5.74.715.76.01.0(3)

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 6vs

L4.08867255

Jul 25vs

W6.210826133

Jul 8vs

W7.09995011

Trends · SFG

SFG are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
SFG are 2-8 in their last 10 away games.
SFG are 2-3 in C. Whisenhunt's last 5 starts.
SFG are 1-2 in C. Whisenhunt's last 3 away starts.
SFG average 3.0 runs/game in C. Whisenhunt's last 5 starts.
SFG average 2.3 runs/game in C. Whisenhunt's last 3 away starts.

Over / Under

SFG are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 games.
SFG are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 away games.
SFG are 2-3 to the over in C. Whisenhunt's last 5 starts.
SFG are 0-2 to the over in C. Whisenhunt's last 2 away starts.

Trends · CLE

CLE are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
CLE are 2-8 in their last 10 home games.
CLE are 1-1 in Foster Griffin's last 2 starts.
CLE are 0-1 in Foster Griffin's last 1 home starts.
CLE average 6.0 runs/game in Foster Griffin's last 2 starts.
CLE average 6.0 runs/game in Foster Griffin's last 1 home starts.

Over / Under

CLE are 6-4 to the over in their last 10 games.
CLE are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 home games.

Weather · Neutral Conditions

79°F, Overcast, Wind 8 mph WNW

APF 100 — Neutral

Flags · 4

SFG — C. Whisenhunt: HH% 49% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
SFG — C. Whisenhunt: BB% 16% — command concerns, elevated walk rate
CLE — Foster Griffin: HH% 48% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
SFG bullpen elevated (4.7 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER

CLE Team Total o4.5 (-108)

C. Whisenhunt u14.5 Outs (+146)

DET @

PIT

6:40 PM · PNC ParkNeutral Conditions

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6

Keider Montero R

xERA3.16 (good)ERA2.45K%9.7 (poor)

More Stats

HH%37.9 (avg)Barrel%6.9 (good)IP/gs6.1 IP/gsH/gs3.3PC/gs85BB%8.3

PIT vs RHP · last 6

wRC+79 (poor)12+100K%22.4 (avg)HH%37.4 (avg)Whiff%20.8

Braxton Ashcraft R

xERA2.41 (elite)ERA2.84K%29.8 (elite)

More Stats

HH%48.8 (poor)Barrel%9.3 (avg)IP/gs6.3 IP/gsH/gs3.0PC/gs79BB%4.5

DET vs RHP · last 6

wRC+118 (above avg)12+115K%19.2 (above avg)HH%32.2 (below avg)Whiff%20.2

Bullpens · Last 12

DET

xERA 3.52 (good)ERA 3.322d stress Elevated (4.0 IP/1g)

PIT

xERA 2.87 (elite)ERA 3.592d stress Stressed (6.0 IP/1g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalDET+124+1.5 (-175)O8.0 (-108)PIT-145-1.5 (+152)U8.0 (-105)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalDET+120+0.5 (-130)O4.5 (-102)PIT-140-0.5 (+100)U4.5 (-128)

Team Totals

Full Game O/UF5 O/UDET3.5 (-113/-110)1.5 (-125/-105)PIT4.5 (+110/+120)2.5 (+120/-154)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UKeider Montero3.5 (-111 / +104)15.5 (-118 / -102)Braxton Ashcraft5.5 (-111 / -105)17.5 (-102 / -129)

Keider Montero · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 13vs

W6.18803100

Aug 7@

L6.08255355

Aug 2@

W6.08622200

Jul 27vs

L4.18019146

Jul 22@

W5.18183011

Braxton Ashcraft · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 13@

W9.085103111

Aug 6@

L5.08253134

Aug 1@

W5.06952111

Jul 26vs

W6.09357244

Jul 20@

L3.07429178

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Braxton Ashcraft

IPERAKHBB

vs DET—

home starts5.75.297.05.71.3(3)

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jul 26vs

W6.09357244

Jul 11vs

W5.09865255

Jun 24vs

W6.086105011

Trends · DET

DET are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
DET are 8-2 in their last 10 away games.
DET are 3-2 in Keider Montero's last 5 starts.
DET are 2-3 in Keider Montero's last 5 away starts.
DET average 5.2 runs/game in Keider Montero's last 5 starts.
DET average 4.6 runs/game in Keider Montero's last 5 away starts.

Over / Under

DET are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 games.
DET are 6-4 to the over in their last 10 away games.
DET are 2-3 to the over in Keider Montero's last 5 starts.
DET are 1-2 to the over in Keider Montero's last 3 away starts.

Trends · PIT

PIT are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
PIT are 4-6 in their last 10 home games.
PIT are 3-2 in Braxton Ashcraft's last 5 starts.
PIT are 3-2 in Braxton Ashcraft's last 5 home starts.
PIT average 6.4 runs/game in Braxton Ashcraft's last 5 starts.
PIT average 5.8 runs/game in Braxton Ashcraft's last 5 home starts.

Over / Under

PIT are 6-4 to the over in their last 10 games.
PIT are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 home games.
PIT are 3-2 to the over in Braxton Ashcraft's last 5 starts.

Weather · Neutral Conditions

80°F, Clear, Wind 6 mph W

APF 101 — Neutral

Flags · 6

PIT — Braxton Ashcraft: HH% 49% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
DET bullpen elevated (4.0 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
PIT bullpen stressed (6.0 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
DET — Keider Montero: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-07-17 — may affect pitch count or availability
DET — Keider Montero: 2026-08-07: 5 ER in 6.0 IP (ERA equiv 8) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
DET — Keider Montero: recent opponents low-K: ATH 16%, SFG 18%, CLE 14% — recent opponents make less contact; today's lineup may be tougher

AI Analysis

Two strong starters by xERA with one hot and one slumping offense apiece makes for a murky total, and Detroit's established contact rate undercuts the strikeout prop against Ashcraft.

MIA @

PHI

6:40 PM · Citizens Bank ParkHitter Friendly

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6

Cade Gibson

xERA?ERA?K%?

More Stats

HH%?Barrel%?IP/gs—H/gs?PC/gs?BB%?

PHI

No data

Zack Wheeler R

xERA3.47 (good)ERA5.84K%24.1 (good)

More Stats

HH%35.1 (avg)Barrel%5.4 (good)IP/gs4.1 IP/gsH/gs4.7PC/gs77BB%10.3

MIA vs RHP · last 6

wRC+106 (avg)12+108K%24.2 (below avg)HH%39.8 (avg)Whiff%19.0

Bullpens · Last 12

MIA

xERA 3.36 (good)ERA 4.382d stress Normal (3.0 IP/1g)

PHI

xERA 3.18 (good)ERA 4.342d stress Elevated (4.0 IP/1g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalMIA+205+1.5 (-104)O8.0 (-115)PHI-240-1.5 (-108)U8.0 (-105)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalMIA+205+1.5 (-146)O4.5 (-106)PHI-265-1.5 (+112)U4.5 (-122)

Team Totals

Full Game O/UMIA2.5 (-150/+120)PHI4.5 (-115/+100)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UCade Gibson——Zack Wheeler7.5 (+115 / +130)17.5 (-195 / +135)

Zack Wheeler · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 12@

L5.08456145

Aug 7vs

L5.111667544

Aug 2@

W2.03231000

Jul 27@

L3.06866155

Jul 21vs

L7.09395022

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Zack Wheeler

IPERAKHBB

vs MIA5.03.607.73.72.0(3)

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jul 27@

L3.06866155

Jun 15vs

W6.09792300

May 1@

W6.09483211

home starts5.45.528.37.02.0(3)

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 7vs

L5.111667544

Jul 21vs

L7.09395022

Jul 1vs

W4.2104109144

Trends · MIA

MIA are 5-6 vs PHI this season (11 games).
MIA are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
MIA are 5-5 in their last 10 away games.

Over / Under

MIA are 6-4 to the over in their last 10 games.
MIA are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 away games.

Trends · PHI

PHI are 6-5 vs MIA this season (11 games).
PHI are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
PHI are 6-4 in their last 10 home games.
PHI have won 4 straight.
PHI are 1-4 in Zack Wheeler's last 5 starts.
PHI are 3-2 in Zack Wheeler's last 5 home starts.
PHI average 4.2 runs/game in Zack Wheeler's last 5 starts.
PHI average 5.6 runs/game in Zack Wheeler's last 5 home starts.

Over / Under

PHI are 7-3 to the over in their last 10 games.
PHI are 7-3 to the over in their last 10 home games.
PHI are 2-3 to the over in Zack Wheeler's last 5 starts.
PHI are 1-1 to the over in Zack Wheeler's last 2 home starts.

Weather · Hitter Friendly

86°F, Mainly Clear, Wind 6 mph NW

APF 106 — Hitter Friendly

Flags · 3

MIA — Cade Gibson: first start of the season — no stats available yet
PHI bullpen elevated (4.0 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
PHI — Zack Wheeler: 2026-08-12: 4 ER in 5.0 IP (ERA equiv 7) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA

AI Analysis

Miami's starter has no stats and Philadelphia's offense shows no data against his hand, so the game cannot be handicapped and the Phillies moneyline is far too expensive anyway.

STL @

CIN

6:40 PM · Great American Ball ParkHitter Friendly

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6

Kyle Leahy R

xERA3.84 (avg)ERA2.25K%25.8 (good)

More Stats

HH%33.3 (good)Barrel%6.2 (good)IP/gs5.3 IP/gsH/gs6.7PC/gs87BB%1.5

CIN vs RHP · last 6

wRC+59 (poor)12+78K%24.3 (below avg)HH%41.5 (above avg)Whiff%27.4

TBD

xERA?ERA?K%?

More Stats

HH%?Barrel%?IP/gs—H/gs?PC/gs?BB%?

STL

No data

Bullpens · Last 12

STL

xERA 4.65 (below avg)ERA 3.432d stress Elevated (4.0 IP/1g)

CIN

xERA 2.97 (elite)ERA 6.052d stress Elevated (4.0 IP/1g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalSTL-120-1.5 (+140)O8.5 (-117)CIN+102+1.5 (-162)U8.5 (+102)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalSTL-125-0.5 (+108)O4.5 (-110)CIN+104+0.5 (-140)U4.5 (-118)

Team Totals

Full Game O/UF5 O/USTL4.5 (-106/-120)1.5 (-160/+124)CIN3.5 (-140/+112)1.5 (-154/+120)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UKyle Leahy5.5 (+112 / -137)15.5 (+126 / -162)TBD——

Kyle Leahy · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 12vs

W5.08166011

Aug 7vs

W5.08288022

Jul 31@

L6.09836111

Jul 26vs

L6.010296122

Jul 20@

L6.09543011

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Kyle Leahy

IPERAKHBB

vs CIN5.06.006.06.01.7(3)

at CIN5.09.008.07.02.0(1)

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jul 26vs

L6.010296122

Jun 5vs

W4.07915233

May 23@

L5.08787255

Trends · STL

STL are 6-6 vs CIN this season (12 games).
STL are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
STL are 6-4 in their last 10 away games.
STL are 2-3 in Kyle Leahy's last 5 starts.
STL are 1-4 in Kyle Leahy's last 5 away starts.
STL average 3.2 runs/game in Kyle Leahy's last 5 starts.
STL average 4.0 runs/game in Kyle Leahy's last 5 away starts.

Over / Under

STL are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 games.
STL are 2-8 to the over in their last 10 away games.
STL are 1-4 to the over in Kyle Leahy's last 5 starts.
STL are 0-3 to the over in Kyle Leahy's last 3 away starts.

Trends · CIN

CIN are 6-6 vs STL this season (12 games).
CIN are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
CIN are 6-4 in their last 10 home games.

Over / Under

CIN are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 games.
CIN are 6-4 to the over in their last 10 home games.

Weather · Hitter Friendly

83°F, Clear, Wind 7 mph NW

APF 104 — Hitter Friendly

Flags · 3

CIN — TBD: first start of the season — no stats available yet
STL bullpen elevated (4.0 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
CIN bullpen elevated (4.0 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER

AI Analysis

Cincinnati's starter is a season debut with no stats and St. Louis has no data against his hand, so only the Leahy strikeout prop was considered and it did not offer enough edge to add here.

TOR @

TBR✓

6:40 PM · Tropicana Field (Dome)

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6

Jose Soriano R

xERA4.95 (below avg)ERA1.15K%19.4 (avg)

More Stats

HH%47.6 (poor)Barrel%7.1 (good)IP/gs5.2 IP/gsH/gs3.7PC/gs90BB%12.9

TBR vs RHP · last 6

wRC+158 (elite)12+141K%11.6 (elite)HH%35.1 (avg)Whiff%14.7

Nick Martinez R

xERA4.49 (avg)ERA4.35K%13.9 (below avg)

More Stats

HH%41.2 (below avg)Barrel%8.8 (avg)IP/gs6.9 IP/gsH/gs7.0PC/gs84BB%0.0

TOR vs RHP · last 6

wRC+81 (below avg)12+101K%23.6 (avg)HH%39.3 (avg)Whiff%23.2

Bullpens · Last 12

TOR

xERA 2.87 (elite)ERA 2.912d stress Normal (3.7 IP/1g)

TBR

xERA 4.46 (avg)ERA 5.072d stress Elevated (4.3 IP/1g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalTOR+120+1.5 (-176)O7.5 (-108)TBR-142-1.5 (+153)U7.5 (-110)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalTOR+116+0.5 (-130)O4.5 (+112)TBR-140-0.5 (+100)U4.5 (-146)

Team Totals

Full Game O/UF5 O/UTOR3.5 (+100/-120)1.5 (-135/+105)TBR3.5 (-132/+114)2.5 (+120/-154)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UJose Soriano4.5 (-105 / -115)16.5 (-130 / -102)Nick Martinez3.5 (-102 / -113)17.5 (-172 / +137)

Jose Soriano · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 12vs

W6.09044211

Aug 7@

W4.29434312

Jul 26@

W5.08553301

Jul 20vs

W7.09574122

Jul 12@

L5.07705233

Nick Martinez · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 11@

W9.010158044

Aug 5@

W5.27546000

Jul 31vs

L6.07727066

Jul 25vs

W6.08454000

Jul 20@

W6.08206111

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Jose Soriano

IPERAKHBB

vs TBR5.44.444.35.02.0(3)

at TBR7.21.254.05.03.0(1)

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 13vs

W5.07653200

Aug 5vs

L4.06547177

Apr 10@

W7.29345311

Nick Martinez

IPERAKHBB

vs TOR5.51.642.05.51.0(2)

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jul 20@

W6.08206111

May 4vs

W5.07145111

home starts5.74.212.75.00.3(3)

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jul 31vs

L6.07727066

Jul 25vs

W6.08454000

Jul 10vs

W5.17014122

Trends · TOR

TOR are 2-8 vs TBR this season (10 games).
TOR are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
TOR are 6-4 in their last 10 away games.
TOR are 2-2 in Jose Soriano's last 4 starts.
TOR are 1-1 in Jose Soriano's last 2 away starts.
TOR average 3.8 runs/game in Jose Soriano's last 4 starts.
TOR average 4.0 runs/game in Jose Soriano's last 2 away starts.

Over / Under

TOR are 7-3 to the over in their last 10 games.
TOR are 6-4 to the over in their last 10 away games.
TOR are 2-0 to the over in Jose Soriano's last 2 starts.

Trends · TBR

TBR are 8-2 vs TOR this season (10 games).
TBR are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
TBR are 4-6 in their last 10 home games.
TBR are 4-1 in Nick Martinez's last 5 starts.
TBR are 4-1 in Nick Martinez's last 5 home starts.
TBR average 5.4 runs/game in Nick Martinez's last 5 starts.
TBR average 4.2 runs/game in Nick Martinez's last 5 home starts.

Over / Under

TBR are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 games.
TBR are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 home games.
TBR are 2-3 to the over in Nick Martinez's last 5 starts.
TBR are 1-2 to the over in Nick Martinez's last 3 home starts.

Weather · Dome

Flags · 5

TOR — Jose Soriano: HH% 48% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
TOR — Jose Soriano: BB% 13% — command concerns, elevated walk rate
TBR bullpen elevated (4.3 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
TBR — Nick Martinez: last start: 101 pitches — high pitch count, may be on shorter leash today
TBR — Nick Martinez: 2026-07-31: 6 ER in 6.0 IP (ERA equiv 9) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA

TBR Team Total o2.5 (+120)

ARI @

BOS

7:10 PM · Fenway ParkHitter Friendly

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6

Merrill Kelly R

xERA6.02 (poor)ERA6.89K%15.9 (below avg)

More Stats

HH%42.5 (below avg)Barrel%6.4 (good)IP/gs5.2 IP/gsH/gs5.3PC/gs82BB%15.9

BOS vs RHP · last 6

wRC+112 (avg)12+122K%22.0 (avg)HH%32.6 (below avg)Whiff%24.2

Ranger Suarez L

xERA5.55 (poor)ERA4.97K%13.0 (below avg)

More Stats

HH%41.5 (below avg)Barrel%2.4 (elite)IP/gs4.2 IP/gsH/gs4.3PC/gs72BB%9.3

ARI vs LHP · last 6

wRC+138 (elite)12+132K%22.4 (avg)HH%45.6 (elite)Whiff%16.0

Bullpens · Last 12

ARI

xERA 4.28 (avg)ERA 3.792d stress Fresh (2.3 IP/1g)

BOS

xERA 2.19 (elite)ERA 3.552d stress Elevated (4.0 IP/1g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalARI+146+1.5 (-144)O8.5 (-105)BOS-170-1.5 (+125)U8.5 (-105)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalARI+150+0.5 (+100)O4.5 (-122)BOS-166-0.5 (-130)U4.5 (-106)

Team Totals

Full Game O/UF5 O/UARI3.5 (-118/-108)1.5 (-130/+100)BOS4.5 (-115/-111)2.5 (+105/-135)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UMerrill Kelly3.5 (-136 / +108)15.5 (-122 / -108)Ranger Suarez4.5 (+100 / -119)15.5 (-103 / -118)

Merrill Kelly · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 12vs

L5.07126366

Aug 7vs

W5.28042411

Aug 2@

L5.09658455

Jul 27@

L5.29364101

Jul 22vs

W5.08735122

Ranger Suarez · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 12@

L5.08126111

Aug 6vs

W3.07033234

Jul 31@

W4.26524233

Jul 26vs

W4.06464000

Jul 5@

W2.25356033

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Ranger Suarez

IPERAKHBB

vs ARI3.616.254.07.51.5(2)

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 21@

L4.07928166

May 4vs

L3.28267277

home starts4.34.155.74.01.0(3)

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 6vs

W3.07033234

Jul 26vs

W4.06464000

Jun 29vs

W6.09585133

Trends · ARI

ARI are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
ARI are 6-4 in their last 10 away games.
ARI are 2-3 in Merrill Kelly's last 5 starts.
ARI are 1-4 in Merrill Kelly's last 5 away starts.
ARI average 5.0 runs/game in Merrill Kelly's last 5 starts.
ARI average 1.6 runs/game in Merrill Kelly's last 5 away starts.

Over / Under

ARI are 3-7 to the over in their last 10 games.
ARI are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 away games.
ARI are 1-4 to the over in Merrill Kelly's last 5 starts.
ARI are 0-3 to the over in Merrill Kelly's last 3 away starts.

Trends · BOS

BOS are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
BOS are 7-3 in their last 10 home games.
BOS are 4-1 in Ranger Suarez's last 5 starts.
BOS are 4-1 in Ranger Suarez's last 5 home starts.
BOS average 7.6 runs/game in Ranger Suarez's last 5 starts.
BOS average 7.2 runs/game in Ranger Suarez's last 5 home starts.

Over / Under

BOS are 6-4 to the over in their last 10 games.
BOS are 6-4 to the over in their last 10 home games.
BOS are 3-1 to the over in Ranger Suarez's last 4 starts.

Weather · Hitter Friendly

70°F, Clear, Wind 8 mph E

APF 103 — Hitter Friendly

Flags · 5

ARI — Merrill Kelly: BB% 16% — command concerns, elevated walk rate
ARI bullpen fresh (2.3 IP over 1g) — manager may hook starter early; lean SP K/outs UNDER
BOS bullpen elevated (4.0 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
ARI — Merrill Kelly: last start: 71 pitches — short outing, possible injury concern or early hook
BOS — Ranger Suarez: 2026-08-06: 3 ER in 3.0 IP (ERA equiv 9) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA

AI Analysis

Arizona's elite lefty-mashing lineup against a starter it has hit hard is genuine, but Boston's shutdown bullpen caps the payoff and the team-total prices already reflect the matchup.

SDP @

NYM✓

7:10 PM · Citi FieldRainy

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6

Robbie Ray L

xERA4.47 (avg)ERA4.20K%18.8 (avg)

More Stats

HH%40.5 (below avg)Barrel%9.5 (avg)IP/gs5.0 IP/gsH/gs4.3PC/gs87BB%14.1

NYM vs LHP · last 6

wRC+32 (poor)12+105K%24.1 (below avg)HH%39.3 (avg)Whiff%21.8

Zac Thornton L

xERA4.70 (below avg)ERA3.45K%10.4 (poor)

More Stats

HH%35.9 (avg)Barrel%7.5 (good)IP/gs5.2 IP/gsH/gs5.7PC/gs79BB%9.0

SDP vs LHP · last 6

wRC+153 (elite)12+121K%24.6 (below avg)HH%35.7 (avg)Whiff%25.6

Bullpens · Last 12

SDP

xERA 2.33 (elite)ERA 2.902d stress Normal (3.0 IP/1g)

NYM

xERA 3.87 (avg)ERA 2.792d stress Normal (2.7 IP/1g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalSDP-112-1.5 (+146)O8.5 (-110)NYM+100+1.5 (-170)U8.5 (-108)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalSDP-120-0.5 (+112)O4.5 (-130)NYM+100+0.5 (-146)U4.5 (+100)

Team Totals

Full Game O/UF5 O/USDP4.5 (+112/-130)2.5 (+105/-135)NYM3.5 (-140/+112)2.5 (+120/-154)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/URobbie Ray4.5 (-130 / +114)15.5 (+115 / -136)Zac Thornton3.5 (-125 / +103)15.5 (-104 / -122)

Robbie Ray · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 12vs

W4.08442322

Aug 7vs

L5.09227544

Jul 30@

W6.08664111

Jul 25vs

W6.08056200

Jul 19@

L4.08668213

Zac Thornton · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 12@

L6.08027133

Aug 7@

W5.06334200

Aug 1vs

L4.29426334

Jul 27vs

W6.18156133

Jul 21@

W6.08123100

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Robbie Ray

IPERAKHBB

vs NYM5.82.605.34.02.3(3)

at NYM7.01.296.04.01.0(1)

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Apr 2vs

W5.19673322

Aug 1@

W7.010264111

Jul 26vs

L5.210235322

Zac Thornton

IPERAKHBB

vs SDP—

home starts5.83.124.04.72.0(3)

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 1vs

L4.29426334

Jul 27vs

W6.18156133

Jul 12vs

L7.08252200

Trends · SDP

SDP are 1-3 vs NYM this season (4 games).
SDP are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
SDP are 6-4 in their last 10 away games.
SDP are 1-2 in Robbie Ray's last 3 starts.
SDP average 2.7 runs/game in Robbie Ray's last 3 starts.

Over / Under

SDP are 3-7 to the over in their last 10 games.
SDP are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 away games.
SDP are 1-2 to the over in Robbie Ray's last 3 starts.

Trends · NYM

NYM are 3-1 vs SDP this season (4 games).
NYM are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
NYM are 6-4 in their last 10 home games.
NYM have won 4 straight.
NYM are 3-2 in Zac Thornton's last 5 starts.
NYM are 1-3 in Zac Thornton's last 4 home starts.
NYM average 5.8 runs/game in Zac Thornton's last 5 starts.
NYM average 4.8 runs/game in Zac Thornton's last 4 home starts.

Over / Under

NYM are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 games.
NYM are 3-7 to the over in their last 10 home games.
NYM are 3-2 to the over in Zac Thornton's last 5 starts.
NYM are 1-2 to the over in Zac Thornton's last 3 home starts.

Weather · Rainy

75°F, Moderate Drizzle, Wind 5 mph E

APF 101 — Neutral

Flags · 2

SDP — Robbie Ray: BB% 14% — command concerns, elevated walk rate
SDP — Robbie Ray: 2026-08-07: 4 ER in 5.0 IP (ERA equiv 7) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA

SDP Team Total o4.5 (+112)

ATH @

KCR✓

7:40 PM · Kauffman StadiumHot

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6

Jack Perkins R

xERA4.67 (below avg)ERA11.48K%20.0 (avg)

More Stats

HH%35.3 (avg)Barrel%13.7 (below avg)IP/gs4.4 IP/gsH/gs8.7PC/gs86BB%7.1

KCR vs RHP · last 6

wRC+52 (poor)12+70K%24.4 (below avg)HH%35.1 (avg)Whiff%18.9

Mason Black R

xERA5.96 (poor)ERA4.50K%6.7 (poor)

More Stats

HH%42.9 (below avg)Barrel%5.7 (good)IP/gs10.0 IP (3gs)H/gs?PC/gs57BB%15.6

ATH vs RHP · last 6

wRC+118 (above avg)12+97K%16.4 (above avg)HH%32.2 (below avg)Whiff%21.3

Bullpens · Last 12

ATH

xERA 4.38 (avg)ERA 6.022d stress Normal (3.0 IP/1g)

KCR

xERA 5.17 (below avg)ERA 4.052d stress Fresh (0.0 IP/1g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalATH+119+1.5 (-170)O10.0 (-105)KCR-136-1.5 (+146)U9.5 (-105)

Team Totals

Full Game O/UATH4.5 (-110/-120)KCR4.5 (-140/+110)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UJack Perkins3.5 (-130 / +103)14.5 (-161 / +130)Mason Black——

Jack Perkins · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 12vs

L5.097212167

Aug 7@

L3.07035355

Aug 1vs

L5.19199166

Jul 27vs

L5.26941322

Jul 21@

L5.08745133

Mason Black · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 12@

L3.0*4413211

Aug 7vs

L5.0*8623322

Jun 18vs

W2.0*4003222

Jun 15@

L2.0*3601111

Jun 12vs

L2.1*4833311

Trends · ATH

ATH are 2-2 vs KCR this season (4 games).
ATH are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
ATH are 3-7 in their last 10 away games.
ATH are 0-5 in Jack Perkins's last 5 starts.
ATH are 0-4 in Jack Perkins's last 4 away starts.
ATH average 3.6 runs/game in Jack Perkins's last 5 starts.
ATH average 2.2 runs/game in Jack Perkins's last 4 away starts.

Over / Under

ATH are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 games.
ATH are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 away games.
ATH are 3-2 to the over in Jack Perkins's last 5 starts.
ATH are 2-1 to the over in Jack Perkins's last 3 away starts.

Trends · KCR

KCR are 2-2 vs ATH this season (4 games).
KCR are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
KCR are 7-3 in their last 10 home games.

Over / Under

KCR are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 games.
KCR are 3-7 to the over in their last 10 home games.

Weather · Hot

98°F, Mainly Clear, Wind 7 mph SE

APF 105 — Hitter Friendly

Flags · 7

ATH — Jack Perkins: Barrel% 14% — high hard contact rate, elevated home run risk
KCR — Mason Black: BB% 16% — command concerns, elevated walk rate
KCR bullpen: bullpen xERA 5.17 — bullpen performing well below average by expected ERA
KCR bullpen fresh (0.0 IP over 1g) — manager may hook starter early; lean SP K/outs UNDER
ATH — Jack Perkins: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-07-09 — may affect pitch count or availability
ATH — Jack Perkins: high-K outing 2026-08-01 (9 Ks vs avg 4.7) — stuff can dominate; may not repeat
KCR — Mason Black: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-08-12, 2026-08-07 — may affect pitch count or availability

KCR Team Total u4.5 (+110)

ATL @

MIN✓

7:40 PM · Target FieldHitter Friendly

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6

Tyler Mahle R

xERA2.64 (elite)ERA3.06K%36.2 (elite)

More Stats

HH%43.6 (below avg)Barrel%7.7 (good)IP/gs5.9 IP/gsH/gs4.0PC/gs95BB%5.8

MIN vs RHP · last 6

wRC+117 (above avg)12+93K%21.8 (avg)HH%40.0 (above avg)Whiff%24.1

Zebby Matthews R

xERA4.05 (avg)ERA6.00K%26.5 (good)

More Stats

HH%62.8 (poor)Barrel%9.3 (avg)IP/gs5.0 IP/gsH/gs5.7PC/gs93BB%8.8

ATL vs RHP · last 6

wRC+71 (poor)12+77K%22.2 (avg)HH%36.8 (avg)Whiff%21.2

Bullpens · Last 12

ATL

xERA 3.93 (avg)ERA 4.292d stress Normal (3.0 IP/1g)

MIN

xERA 2.92 (elite)ERA 3.462d stress Normal (3.7 IP/1g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalATL-126-1.5 (+135)O8.5 (-115)MIN+110+1.5 (-157)U8.5 (+102)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalATL-124-0.5 (+110)O4.5 (-128)MIN+100+0.5 (-144)U4.5 (-102)

Team Totals

Full Game O/UF5 O/UATL4.5 (-106/-115)2.5 (+105/-135)MIN3.5 (-130/+110)2.5 (+124/-160)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UTyler Mahle4.5 (-122 / -104)16.5 (-110 / -130)Zebby Matthews4.5 (+115 / -142)—

Tyler Mahle · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 12vs

W6.09374011

Aug 7@

L6.09293200

Aug 1@

L5.29995255

Jul 27vs

W6.08833200

Jul 21@

L5.09145133

Zebby Matthews · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 12vs

W5.09446244

Aug 7@

W5.08347236

Jul 31@

W5.0101104233

Jul 24vs

L6.09213322

Jul 19@

L3.087493810

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Tyler Mahle

IPERAKHBB

vs MIN5.14.413.57.51.0(2)

at MIN5.26.923.010.01.0(1)

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 25vs

L5.07845111

Jun 10@

W5.291310144

Zebby Matthews

IPERAKHBB

vs ATL—

home starts5.75.292.76.02.3(3)

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 12vs

W5.09446244

Jul 24vs

L6.09213322

Jul 10vs

L6.010239244

Trends · ATL

ATL are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
ATL are 3-7 in their last 10 away games.
ATL are 1-1 in Tyler Mahle's last 2 starts.
ATL are 0-1 in Tyler Mahle's last 1 away starts.
ATL average 4.0 runs/game in Tyler Mahle's last 2 starts.
ATL average 2.0 runs/game in Tyler Mahle's last 1 away starts.

Over / Under

ATL are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 games.
ATL are 3-7 to the over in their last 10 away games.
ATL are 1-1 to the over in Tyler Mahle's last 2 starts.

Trends · MIN

MIN are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
MIN are 5-5 in their last 10 home games.
MIN are 3-2 in Zebby Matthews's last 5 starts.
MIN are 2-3 in Zebby Matthews's last 5 home starts.
MIN average 4.2 runs/game in Zebby Matthews's last 5 starts.
MIN average 3.2 runs/game in Zebby Matthews's last 5 home starts.

Over / Under

MIN are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 games.
MIN are 3-7 to the over in their last 10 home games.
MIN are 2-3 to the over in Zebby Matthews's last 5 starts.
MIN are 0-3 to the over in Zebby Matthews's last 3 home starts.

Weather · Hitter Friendly

74°F, Clear, Wind 6 mph WNW

APF 105 — Hitter Friendly

Flags · 2

MIN — Zebby Matthews: HH% 63% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
ATL — Tyler Mahle: 2026-08-01: 5 ER in 5.2 IP (ERA equiv 9) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA

Tyler Mahle o4.5 Ks (-122)

SEA @

MIL

7:40 PM · American Family FieldNeutral Conditions

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6

Bryce Miller R

xERA3.25 (good)ERA6.06K%19.4 (avg)

More Stats

HH%36.7 (avg)Barrel%8.2 (avg)IP/gs5.4 IP/gsH/gs5.3PC/gs90BB%7.5

MIL vs RHP · last 6

wRC+59 (poor)12+80K%25.0 (below avg)HH%45.1 (elite)Whiff%27.0

Kyle Harrison L

xERA4.10 (avg)ERA7.24K%25.0 (good)

More Stats

HH%41.5 (below avg)Barrel%12.2 (below avg)IP/gs4.6 IP/gsH/gs5.0PC/gs76BB%6.7

SEA vs LHP · last 6

wRC+77 (poor)12+79K%27.5 (below avg)HH%43.1 (above avg)Whiff%23.6

Bullpens · Last 12

SEA

xERA 3.98 (avg)ERA 7.172d stress Normal (3.0 IP/1g)

MIL

xERA 2.72 (elite)ERA 2.582d stress Fresh (2.0 IP/1g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalSEA+135+1.5 (-173)O8.0 (-105)MIL-152-1.5 (+150)U7.5 (+100)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalSEA+124+0.5 (-128)O4.5 (+112)MIL-148-0.5 (-102)U4.5 (-146)

Team Totals

Full Game O/UF5 O/USEA3.5 (-104/-122)1.5 (-120/-110)MIL4.5 (+122/-154)2.5 (+120/-154)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UBryce Miller5.5 (+109 / -128)16.5 (-112 / -117)Kyle Harrison5.5 (-159 / +125)16.5 (-115 / -108)

Bryce Miller · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 12@

L6.08958155

Aug 6vs

L5.09355244

Jul 31vs

L5.18733222

Jul 24@

L5.18906155

Jul 17vs

L5.29167123

Kyle Harrison · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 11@

L4.290310338

Aug 5vs

W5.069101100

Jul 8@

L4.07024033

Jul 3@

W2.27235133

Jun 27vs

L5.09293122

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Kyle Harrison

IPERAKHBB

vs SEA—

home starts5.31.127.32.30.7(3)

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 5vs

W5.069101100

Jun 27vs

L5.09293122

Jun 14vs

W6.08033000

Trends · SEA

SEA are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
SEA are 4-6 in their last 10 away games.
SEA are 0-5 in Bryce Miller's last 5 starts.
SEA are 1-4 in Bryce Miller's last 5 away starts.
SEA average 2.4 runs/game in Bryce Miller's last 5 starts.
SEA average 4.8 runs/game in Bryce Miller's last 5 away starts.

Over / Under

SEA are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 games.
SEA are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 away games.
SEA are 4-0 to the over in Bryce Miller's last 4 starts.
SEA are 3-0 to the over in Bryce Miller's last 3 away starts.

Trends · MIL

MIL are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
MIL are 7-3 in their last 10 home games.
MIL are 2-3 in Kyle Harrison's last 5 starts.
MIL are 4-1 in Kyle Harrison's last 5 home starts.
MIL average 3.2 runs/game in Kyle Harrison's last 5 starts.
MIL average 4.8 runs/game in Kyle Harrison's last 5 home starts.

Over / Under

MIL are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 games.
MIL are 2-8 to the over in their last 10 home games.
MIL are 1-3 to the over in Kyle Harrison's last 4 starts.
MIL are 0-2 to the over in Kyle Harrison's last 2 home starts.

Weather · Neutral Conditions

78°F, Partly Cloudy, Wind 10 mph WSW

APF 100 — Neutral

Flags · 4

MIL — Kyle Harrison: Barrel% 12% — high hard contact rate, elevated home run risk
MIL bullpen fresh (2.0 IP over 1g) — manager may hook starter early; lean SP K/outs UNDER
MIL — Kyle Harrison: low-K outing 2026-07-08 (2 Ks vs avg 5.0) — stuff was flat that day
MIL — Kyle Harrison: high-K outing 2026-08-05 (10 Ks vs avg 5.0) — stuff can dominate; may not repeat

AI Analysis

Both lineups are cold and both starters carry solid xERAs, but Seattle's blowup-prone bullpen and Milwaukee's slumping-but-likely-to-regress bat make the low total too risky to back.

CHW @

CHC✓

8:05 PM · Wrigley FieldRainy

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6

Erick Fedde R

xERA4.17 (avg)ERA8.31K%9.1 (poor)

More Stats

HH%41.2 (below avg)Barrel%5.9 (good)IP/gs4.1 IP (3gs)H/gs?PC/gs24BB%13.6

CHC vs RHP · last 6

wRC+111 (avg)12+108K%21.5 (avg)HH%37.1 (avg)Whiff%19.5

Kevin Gausman R

xERA3.28 (good)ERA4.67K%20.5 (avg)

More Stats

HH%41.8 (below avg)Barrel%5.5 (good)IP/gs5.8 IP/gsH/gs6.7PC/gs94BB%4.1

CHW vs RHP · last 6

wRC+125 (above avg)12+105K%22.8 (avg)HH%41.8 (above avg)Whiff%22.1

Bullpens · Last 12

CHW

xERA 3.70 (good)ERA 3.772d stress Elevated (4.7 IP/1g)

CHC

xERA 4.44 (avg)ERA 4.062d stress Elevated (5.3 IP/1g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalCHW+141+1.5 (-155)O8.5 (-110)CHC-164-1.5 (+135)U8.5 (-107)

Team Totals

Full Game O/UCHW3.5 (-125/-105)CHC4.5 (-115/-115)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UErick Fedde——Kevin Gausman5.5 (-160 / +125)17.5 (-146 / +110)

Erick Fedde · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 13vs

L3.0*5115244

Aug 7vs

L1.0*1510000

Aug 6@

L0.1*501101

Aug 4@

L3.0*5015145

Jul 31@

W5.09164011

Kevin Gausman · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 13@

L4.29377166

Aug 7@

W7.09644122

Aug 1vs

W5.29449111

Jul 26@

L6.09865133

Jul 21vs

L3.19019245

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Erick Fedde

IPERAKHBB

vs CHC2.417.261.35.33.3(3)

at CHC1.124.550.02.04.0(1)

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

May 17vs

W3.09226444

Jul 6@

L1.15302433

Jun 25vs

L3.27828277

Kevin Gausman

IPERAKHBB

vs CHW—

home starts4.83.784.07.71.7(3)

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 1vs

W5.29449111

Jul 21vs

L3.19019245

Jun 30vs

L6.09675211

Trends · CHW

CHW are 2-2 vs CHC this season (4 games).
CHW are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
CHW are 5-5 in their last 10 away games.
CHW are 5-0 in Erick Fedde's last 5 starts.
CHW are 4-1 in Erick Fedde's last 5 away starts.
CHW average 9.0 runs/game in Erick Fedde's last 5 starts.
CHW average 7.2 runs/game in Erick Fedde's last 5 away starts.

Over / Under

CHW are 6-4 to the over in their last 10 games.
CHW are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 away games.
CHW are 1-4 to the over in Erick Fedde's last 5 starts.
CHW are 1-2 to the over in Erick Fedde's last 3 away starts.

Trends · CHC

CHC are 2-2 vs CHW this season (4 games).
CHC are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
CHC are 7-3 in their last 10 home games.
CHC are 2-1 in Kevin Gausman's last 3 starts.
CHC are 1-0 in Kevin Gausman's last 1 home starts.
CHC average 7.3 runs/game in Kevin Gausman's last 3 starts.
CHC average 16.0 runs/game in Kevin Gausman's last 1 home starts.

Over / Under

CHC are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 games.
CHC are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 home games.

Weather · Rainy

74°F, Clear, Wind 5 mph WSW

APF 96 — Pitcher Friendly · Rain possible (35%)

Flags · 8

CHW — Erick Fedde: small sample (4.1 IP over 3 starts) — stats may not reflect true ability
CHW — Erick Fedde: BB% 14% — command concerns, elevated walk rate
CHW bullpen elevated (4.7 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
CHC bullpen elevated (5.3 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
CHW — Erick Fedde: 18 days since last start (2026-07-31) — may not be fully stretched out
CHW — Erick Fedde: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-08-13, 2026-08-07 — may affect pitch count or availability
CHC — Kevin Gausman: 2026-08-13: 6 ER in 4.2 IP (ERA equiv 13) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
WEATHER: rain risk 35% — game delay or conditions may affect performance

CHC Team Total o4.5 (-115)

WSN @

TEX

8:05 PM · Globe Life Field (Roof Closed)

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6

TBD

xERA?ERA?K%?

More Stats

HH%?Barrel%?IP/gs—H/gs?PC/gs?BB%?

TEX

No data

Cal Quantrill R

xERA3.42 (good)ERA1.50K%20.4 (avg)

More Stats

HH%37.1 (avg)Barrel%2.9 (elite)IP/gs6.0 IP/gsH/gs4.0PC/gs61BB%8.2

WSN vs RHP · last 6

wRC+81 (below avg)12+97K%24.8 (below avg)HH%31.1 (below avg)Whiff%22.1

Bullpens · Last 12

WSN

xERA 4.66 (below avg)ERA 3.862d stress Fresh (2.0 IP/1g)

TEX

xERA 3.48 (good)ERA 4.472d stress Elevated (4.0 IP/1g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalWSN+136+1.5 (-160)O8.0 (-115)TEX-162-1.5 (+145)U8.0 (-101)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalWSN+126+0.5 (-114)O4.5 (-108)TEX-154-0.5 (-114)U4.5 (-120)

Team Totals

Full Game O/UF5 O/UWSN3.5 (-115/-110)1.5 (-140/+110)TEX4.5 (+102/-125)2.5 (+100/-130)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UTBD——Cal Quantrill3.5 (-120 / -101)15.5 (+110 / -130)

Cal Quantrill · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 12@

L5.08564311

Aug 8vs

W1.0*1000000

Aug 3vs

L6.08744113

Jul 28@

W5.16972111

Jul 22vs

L3.0*5512322

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Cal Quantrill

IPERAKHBB

vs WSN5.05.402.07.05.0(1)

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Apr 13vs

W5.07727533

home starts6.01.504.04.01.0(1)

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 3vs

L6.08744113

Trends · WSN

WSN are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
WSN are 1-9 in their last 10 away games.

Over / Under

WSN are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 games.
WSN are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 away games.

Trends · TEX

TEX are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
TEX are 7-3 in their last 10 home games.
TEX are 2-3 in Cal Quantrill's last 5 starts.
TEX are 1-2 in Cal Quantrill's last 3 home starts.
TEX average 3.0 runs/game in Cal Quantrill's last 5 starts.
TEX average 2.7 runs/game in Cal Quantrill's last 3 home starts.

Over / Under

TEX are 2-8 to the over in their last 10 games.
TEX are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 home games.
TEX are 1-4 to the over in Cal Quantrill's last 5 starts.
TEX are 1-2 to the over in Cal Quantrill's last 3 home starts.

Weather · Roof Closed

Flags · 5

WSN — TBD: first start of the season — no stats available yet
WSN bullpen fresh (2.0 IP over 1g) — manager may hook starter early; lean SP K/outs UNDER
TEX bullpen elevated (4.0 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
TEX — Cal Quantrill: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-08-08, 2026-07-22 — may affect pitch count or availability
TEX — Cal Quantrill: recent opponents low-K: TBR 12%, SFG 18% — recent opponents make less contact; today's lineup may be tougher

AI Analysis

Washington's starter has no stats available, leaving half the matchup unknowable and no reliable read on the total or sides.

LAA @

HOU

8:10 PM · Daikin Park (Roof Closed)

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6

George Klassen R

xERA4.82 (below avg)ERA6.00K%16.7 (below avg)

More Stats

HH%38.5 (avg)Barrel%7.7 (good)IP/gs4.0 IP/gsH/gs4.7PC/gs81BB%16.7

HOU vs RHP · last 6

wRC+86 (below avg)12+84K%20.4 (avg)HH%38.9 (avg)Whiff%25.0

Cristian Javier R

xERA4.41 (avg)ERA3.94K%16.7 (below avg)

More Stats

HH%35.2 (avg)Barrel%7.4 (good)IP/gs8.0 IP/gsH/gs9.0PC/gs80BB%1.5

LAA vs RHP · last 6

wRC+95 (avg)12+80K%25.2 (below avg)HH%39.1 (avg)Whiff%25.6

Bullpens · Last 12

LAA

xERA 2.43 (elite)ERA 3.992d stress Normal (3.7 IP/1g)

HOU

xERA 3.12 (good)ERA 2.792d stress Elevated (4.0 IP/1g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalLAA+142+1.5 (-143)O9.0 (-110)HOU-164-1.5 (+128)U9.0 (-102)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalLAA+132+0.5 (-110)O5.5 (+112)HOU-166-0.5 (-118)U5.5 (-146)

Team Totals

Full Game O/UF5 O/ULAA3.5 (-136/+114)1.5 (-160/+124)HOU4.5 (-120/+105)2.5 (-125/-105)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UGeorge Klassen4.5 (+122 / -143)14.5 (-140 / +107)Cristian Javier4.5 (-115 / +105)15.5 (+135 / -146)

George Klassen · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 12vs

W6.08755122

Aug 7@

W4.08334411

Apr 11@

L2.07224545

Apr 5vs

W2.27343522

Cristian Javier · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 9@

L5.08628144

Aug 3vs

L6.08527033

Jul 27@

W5.0*7073000

Jul 19vs

L1.0*2021000

Jul 12@

L3.06044333

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Cristian Javier

IPERAKHBB

vs LAA5.15.293.52.03.5(2)

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Mar 28vs

W4.27414466

Aug 29vs

W6.08560300

home starts6.04.502.07.00.0(1)

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 3vs

L6.08527033

Trends · LAA

LAA are 4-6 vs HOU this season (10 games).
LAA are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
LAA are 3-7 in their last 10 away games.
LAA are 3-1 in George Klassen's last 4 starts.
LAA are 1-1 in George Klassen's last 2 away starts.
LAA average 5.0 runs/game in George Klassen's last 4 starts.
LAA average 3.5 runs/game in George Klassen's last 2 away starts.

Over / Under

LAA are 2-8 to the over in their last 10 games.
LAA are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 away games.
LAA are 0-2 to the over in George Klassen's last 2 starts.

Trends · HOU

HOU are 6-4 vs LAA this season (10 games).
HOU are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
HOU are 6-4 in their last 10 home games.
HOU are 0-5 in Cristian Javier's last 5 starts.
HOU are 1-1 in Cristian Javier's last 2 home starts.
HOU average 2.6 runs/game in Cristian Javier's last 5 starts.
HOU average 6.0 runs/game in Cristian Javier's last 2 home starts.

Over / Under

HOU are 6-4 to the over in their last 10 games.
HOU are 6-4 to the over in their last 10 home games.
HOU are 1-1 to the over in Cristian Javier's last 2 starts.

Weather · Roof Closed

Flags · 4

LAA — George Klassen: BB% 17% — command concerns, elevated walk rate
HOU bullpen elevated (4.0 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
LAA — George Klassen: 2026-04-11: 4 ER in 2.0 IP (ERA equiv 18) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
HOU — Cristian Javier: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-07-27, 2026-07-19 — may affect pitch count or availability

AI Analysis

Two middling starters facing two unremarkable offenses with nothing pointing decisively in either direction.

LAD @

COL

8:40 PM · Coors FieldHitter Friendly

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6

Eric Lauer L

xERA3.37 (good)ERA3.86K%15.7 (below avg)

More Stats

HH%31.5 (good)Barrel%7.4 (good)IP/gs5.4 IP/gsH/gs5.3PC/gs98BB%4.3

COL vs LHP · last 6

wRC+78 (poor)12+80K%17.5 (above avg)HH%26.7 (poor)Whiff%17.8

Ryan Feltner R

xERA3.36 (good)ERA4.96K%9.5 (poor)

More Stats

HH%28.3 (elite)Barrel%6.7 (good)IP/gs5.4 IP/gsH/gs6.3PC/gs90BB%9.5

LAD vs RHP · last 6

wRC+78 (poor)12+69K%21.7 (avg)HH%36.7 (avg)Whiff%24.0

Bullpens · Last 12

LAD

xERA 2.95 (elite)ERA 3.602d stress Normal (3.0 IP/1g)

COL

xERA 4.70 (below avg)ERA 3.752d stress Elevated (5.0 IP/1g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalLAD-180-1.5 (-120)O11.5 (-110)COL+158+1.5 (+105)U11.5 (-105)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalLAD-160-0.5 (-122)O6.5 (-110)COL+135+0.5 (-106)U6.5 (-118)

Team Totals

Full Game O/UF5 O/ULAD6.5 (-111/-110)3.5 (+100/-130)COL4.5 (-128/+100)2.5 (-110/-120)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UEric Lauer3.5 (-115 / -111)—Ryan Feltner3.5 (+126 / -156)15.5 (+134 / -170)

Eric Lauer · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 12vs

W6.111264212

Aug 5@

L4.095111066

Jul 29vs

W6.08741100

Jul 22@

W5.19154133

Jul 6vs

W6.09936233

Ryan Feltner · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 12@

W5.09327322

Aug 7@

L5.19125333

Aug 1vs

W6.08738144

Jul 25@

L5.08249155

Jul 19vs

L2.17137488

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Eric Lauer

IPERAKHBB

vs COL6.02.503.75.71.3(3)

at COL6.01.504.07.01.0(1)

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jul 6vs

W6.09936233

May 26vs

W6.09644111

Aug 4@

W6.09747111

Ryan Feltner

IPERAKHBB

vs LAD3.78.513.05.03.5(2)

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Apr 18vs

W5.28755123

Apr 15@

L2.28115655

home starts4.78.945.07.01.7(3)

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 1vs

W6.08738144

Jul 19vs

L2.17137488

Jul 3vs

W6.08896023

Trends · LAD

LAD are 8-3 vs COL this season (11 games).
LAD are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
LAD are 4-6 in their last 10 away games.
LAD are 4-1 in Eric Lauer's last 5 starts.
LAD are 4-1 in Eric Lauer's last 5 away starts.
LAD average 6.2 runs/game in Eric Lauer's last 5 starts.
LAD average 8.4 runs/game in Eric Lauer's last 5 away starts.

Over / Under

LAD are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 games.
LAD are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 away games.
LAD are 3-2 to the over in Eric Lauer's last 5 starts.
LAD are 2-0 to the over in Eric Lauer's last 2 away starts.

Trends · COL

COL are 3-8 vs LAD this season (11 games).
COL are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
COL are 4-6 in their last 10 home games.
COL are 2-3 in Ryan Feltner's last 5 starts.
COL are 3-2 in Ryan Feltner's last 5 home starts.
COL average 6.2 runs/game in Ryan Feltner's last 5 starts.
COL average 7.8 runs/game in Ryan Feltner's last 5 home starts.

Over / Under

COL are 6-4 to the over in their last 10 games.
COL are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 home games.
COL are 2-3 to the over in Ryan Feltner's last 5 starts.
COL are 1-1 to the over in Ryan Feltner's last 2 home starts.

Weather · Hitter Friendly

88°F, Overcast, Wind 9 mph ENE

APF 115 — Hitter Friendly

Flags · 5

COL bullpen elevated (5.0 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
LAD — Eric Lauer: last start: 112 pitches — high pitch count, may be on shorter leash today
LAD — Eric Lauer: 2026-08-05: 6 ER in 4.0 IP (ERA equiv 14) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
LAD — Eric Lauer: recent opponents high-K: SEA 27%, CHC 29%, KCR 32% — K stats may be inflated vs strikeout-prone lineups
WEATHER: hitter-friendly park (APF 115) — park boosts offense, favor the over and HR props

AI Analysis

Both lineups are cold over their last 6 and Lauer owns Colorado, but Coors variance and Feltner's contact profile make the inflated total a coin flip with no edge.