MLB Game Overviews

Tuesday, August 18, 2026

Updated 08:07 UTC · Odds Updated 08:01 UTC

AI Picks · 7 Bets · Aug 18
CLE Team Total o4.5 (-108)
Cleveland is at 130 wRC+ vs LHP over its last 6 and 121 over its last 12, an established elite mark against left-handers. Whisenhunt carries a 5.05 xERA and 8.03 ERA over his last 3 with a 15.9% walk rate and averages just 4.1 IP/gs, so Cleveland reaches a 4.33-xERA bullpen early. A team total of 4.5 underprices a top-tier lefty-mashing lineup against a wild, hittable starter.
Found at 4:06 AM ET
C. Whisenhunt u14.5 Outs (+146)
Whisenhunt has gone 3.1, 3.1, and 5.2 innings over his last 3 (10, 10, and 17 outs) for a 4.1 IP/gs average, and he walks 15.9% of hitters. Facing a Cleveland lineup at 130 wRC+ vs LHP over its last 6, he is a strong candidate to be knocked out early, making plus money on the under to 14.5 outs clear value.
Found at 4:06 AM ET
TBR Team Total o2.5 (+120)
Tampa Bay is at 158 wRC+ vs RHP over its last 6 and 141 over its last 12, an elite bat-on-ball lineup with just an 11.6% strikeout rate. Soriano's 1.15 ERA over his last 3 is a mirage against his 4.95 xERA, 47.6% hard-hit rate, and 12.9% walk rate, so heavy contact is coming early. Getting plus money on the Rays scoring 3 in the first five innings against a regression-bound starter is the play the full-game price does not offer.
Found at 4:06 AM ET
SDP Team Total o4.5 (+112)
San Diego is at 153 wRC+ vs LHP over its last 6 and 121 over its last 12, elite and confirmed by both windows. Thornton is a left-hander with a 4.70 xERA and a 10.4% strikeout rate over his last 3, so he cannot miss bats against a lineup built to punish lefties. Plus money on the Padres clearing 4.5 misprices a severe pitching-hitting mismatch.
Found at 4:06 AM ET
Tyler Mahle o4.5 Ks (-122)
Mahle has struck out 9, 9, and 7 over his last 3 starts with a 36.2% strikeout rate, averaging 8.3 punchouts per outing. His outs line sits at 16.5 (5.5 innings), giving him the length, and Minnesota's 21.8% strikeout rate vs RHP over its last 6 offers no protection. A line of 4.5 sits well below his current form.
Found at 4:06 AM ET
KCR Team Total u4.5 (+110)
Kansas City is at 52 wRC+ vs RHP over its last 6 and 70 over its last 12 — a genuinely dead offense from both windows. Perkins carries a 4.67 xERA over his last 3 despite an ugly ERA, meaning he has pitched better than his run totals show, and a 24.4% strikeout rate for the Royals against right-handers makes them easy outs. Plus money on this lineup staying under 4.5 is value.
Found at 4:06 AM ET
CHC Team Total o4.5 (-115)
Fedde has faced the Cubs three times and been hammered each outing — 7 ER, 3 ER, and 4 ER while lasting just 2.4 IP/gs for a 17.26 ERA against them. He walks 13.6% and is coming off 18 days with recent bullpen work, so his command is shaky, and Chicago sits at 111 wRC+ vs RHP over its last 6 and 108 over its last 12. A 4.5 team total is too low for a lineup that has repeatedly torched this exact arm.
Found at 4:06 AM ET
AI-generated · For entertainment only · Not financial advice
NYY @ BAL
6:35 PM · Oriole Park at Camden YardsHitter Friendly
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6
Carlos Rodon L
xERA3.85 (avg)ERA3.52K%27.7 (good)
More Stats
HH%37.5 (avg)Barrel%10.0 (avg)IP/gs5.1 IP/gsH/gs4.7PC/gs94BB%10.8
BAL vs LHP · last 6
wRC+152 (elite)12+145K%26.1 (below avg)HH%40.0 (above avg)Whiff%24.2
Shane Baz R
xERA3.08 (good)ERA4.15K%20.8 (avg)
More Stats
HH%46.3 (poor)Barrel%3.7 (elite)IP/gs5.8 IP/gsH/gs6.0PC/gs86BB%4.2
NYY vs RHP · last 6
wRC+74 (poor)12+82K%26.3 (below avg)HH%48.7 (elite)Whiff%22.3
Bullpens · Last 12
NYY
xERA 3.56 (good)ERA 3.732d stress Normal (2.7 IP/1g)
BAL
xERA 3.47 (good)ERA 4.352d stress Normal (3.0 IP/1g)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalNYY-115-1.5 (+143)O8.5 (-115)BAL-102+1.5 (-165)U8.5 (-104)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalNYY-112-0.5 (+122)O4.5 (-120)BAL-110+0.5 (-160)U4.5 (-110)
Team Totals
Full Game O/UF5 O/UNYY4.5 (+100/-125)2.5 (+114/-145)BAL3.5 (-140/+116)2.5 (+120/-154)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UCarlos Rodon5.5 (+124 / -156)12.5 (+110 / -140)Shane Baz5.5 (-145 / +119)17.5 (-105 / -125)
Carlos Rodon · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 28@ BOSL5.09661402
Jun 23@ DETW5.18756233
Jun 17vs CHWW5.09977133
Jun 10@ CLEW6.09674333
Jun 4vs CLEW6.09672311
Shane Baz · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 12@ MINL3.06529155
Aug 7@ TEXL8.09393122
Aug 1vs PHIL6.19946111
Jul 26vs ATLL4.19026212
Jul 20@ BOSL6.07766014
SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Carlos Rodon
IPERAKHBB
vs BAL6.52.087.53.01.0(2)
at BAL6.52.087.53.01.0(2)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 20@ BALW7.09684111
Apr 29@ BALW6.09172122
Shane Baz
IPERAKHBB
vs NYY3.812.743.35.33.7(3)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
May 4@ NYYL5.29645556
Aug 19vs NYYL3.06537266
Apr 19vs NYYW3.18334455
home starts4.82.505.06.71.0(3)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 1vs PHIL6.19946111
Jul 26vs ATLL4.19026212
Jul 12vs KCRW4.210498022
Weather · Hitter Friendly
86°F, Overcast, Wind 7 mph NW
APF 106 — Hitter Friendly
Flags · 6
  • BAL — Shane Baz: HH% 46% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
  • NYY — Carlos Rodon: 51 days since last start (2026-06-28) — may not be fully stretched out
  • BAL — Shane Baz: last start: 65 pitches — short outing, possible injury concern or early hook
  • BAL — Shane Baz: 2026-08-12: 5 ER in 3.0 IP (ERA equiv 15) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
  • BAL — Shane Baz: high-K outing 2026-08-07 (9 Ks vs avg 5.0) — stuff can dominate; may not repeat
  • BAL — Shane Baz: low-K outing 2026-08-12 (2 Ks vs avg 5.0) — stuff was flat that day
AI Analysis
Both starters have opposite head-to-head histories against these lineups fighting their rate stats, and both offenses are cold over their last 6, leaving no clean side or total worth the price.
SFG @ CLE
6:40 PM · Progressive FieldNeutral Conditions
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6
C. Whisenhunt L
xERA5.05 (below avg)ERA8.03K%14.3 (below avg)
More Stats
HH%48.8 (poor)Barrel%7.0 (good)IP/gs4.1 IP/gsH/gs5.3PC/gs80BB%15.9
CLE vs LHP · last 6
wRC+130 (elite)12+121K%14.9 (elite)HH%38.3 (avg)Whiff%23.1
Foster Griffin L
xERA5.68 (poor)ERA7.53K%17.9 (avg)
More Stats
HH%48.0 (poor)Barrel%8.0 (good)IP/gs4.8 IP/gsH/gs6.7PC/gs83BB%7.5
SFG vs LHP · last 6
wRC+62 (poor)12+47K%13.6 (elite)HH%47.2 (elite)Whiff%24.6
Bullpens · Last 12
SFG
xERA 4.33 (avg)ERA 5.402d stress Elevated (4.7 IP/1g)
CLE
xERA 4.26 (avg)ERA 4.782d stress Normal (3.0 IP/1g)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalSFG+160+1.5 (-135)O8.0 (-110)CLE-190-1.5 (+114)U8.0 (-105)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalSFG+150+0.5 (-102)O4.5 (-110)CLE-180-0.5 (-128)U4.5 (-118)
Team Totals
Full Game O/UF5 O/USFG3.5 (+108/-130)1.5 (-120/-110)CLE4.5 (-108/-118)2.5 (+100/-130)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UC. Whisenhunt3.5 (-115 / -108)14.5 (-192 / +146)Foster Griffin5.5 (-104 / -117)17.5 (-140 / +112)
C. Whisenhunt · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 11vs HOUW5.29624311
Aug 5@ TEXL3.17045344
Jul 31@ SDPL3.17437466
Jul 26vs LAAL5.07875244
Jul 9vs COLW5.28743422
Foster Griffin · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 12@ DETW5.08334113
Aug 6vs NYML4.08867255
Jul 31@ ATLL5.17839266
Jul 25vs ARIW6.210826133
Jul 19@ ATHW7.09728111
SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Foster Griffin
IPERAKHBB
vs SFG6.01.505.06.00.0(1)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 10@ SFGL6.010056011
home starts5.74.715.76.01.0(3)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 6vs NYML4.08867255
Jul 25vs ARIW6.210826133
Jul 8vs HOUW7.09995011
Weather · Neutral Conditions
79°F, Overcast, Wind 8 mph WNW
APF 100 — Neutral
Flags · 4
  • SFG — C. Whisenhunt: HH% 49% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
  • SFG — C. Whisenhunt: BB% 16% — command concerns, elevated walk rate
  • CLE — Foster Griffin: HH% 48% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
  • SFG bullpen elevated (4.7 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
CLE Team Total o4.5 (-108)
Cleveland is at 130 wRC+ vs LHP over its last 6 and 121 over its last 12, an established elite mark against left-handers. Whisenhunt carries a 5.05 xERA and 8.03 ERA over his last 3 with a 15.9% walk rate and averages just 4.1 IP/gs, so Cleveland reaches a 4.33-xERA bullpen early. A team total of 4.5 underprices a top-tier lefty-mashing lineup against a wild, hittable starter.
C. Whisenhunt u14.5 Outs (+146)
Whisenhunt has gone 3.1, 3.1, and 5.2 innings over his last 3 (10, 10, and 17 outs) for a 4.1 IP/gs average, and he walks 15.9% of hitters. Facing a Cleveland lineup at 130 wRC+ vs LHP over its last 6, he is a strong candidate to be knocked out early, making plus money on the under to 14.5 outs clear value.
DET @ PIT
6:40 PM · PNC ParkNeutral Conditions
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6
Keider Montero R
xERA3.16 (good)ERA2.45K%9.7 (poor)
More Stats
HH%37.9 (avg)Barrel%6.9 (good)IP/gs6.1 IP/gsH/gs3.3PC/gs85BB%8.3
PIT vs RHP · last 6
wRC+79 (poor)12+100K%22.4 (avg)HH%37.4 (avg)Whiff%20.8
Braxton Ashcraft R
xERA2.41 (elite)ERA2.84K%29.8 (elite)
More Stats
HH%48.8 (poor)Barrel%9.3 (avg)IP/gs6.3 IP/gsH/gs3.0PC/gs79BB%4.5
DET vs RHP · last 6
wRC+118 (above avg)12+115K%19.2 (above avg)HH%32.2 (below avg)Whiff%20.2
Bullpens · Last 12
DET
xERA 3.52 (good)ERA 3.322d stress Elevated (4.0 IP/1g)
PIT
xERA 2.87 (elite)ERA 3.592d stress Stressed (6.0 IP/1g)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalDET+124+1.5 (-175)O8.0 (-108)PIT-145-1.5 (+152)U8.0 (-105)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalDET+120+0.5 (-130)O4.5 (-102)PIT-140-0.5 (+100)U4.5 (-128)
Team Totals
Full Game O/UF5 O/UDET3.5 (-113/-110)1.5 (-125/-105)PIT4.5 (+110/+120)2.5 (+120/-154)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UKeider Montero3.5 (-111 / +104)15.5 (-118 / -102)Braxton Ashcraft5.5 (-111 / -105)17.5 (-102 / -129)
Keider Montero · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 13vs CLEW6.18803100
Aug 7@ SFGL6.08255355
Aug 2@ ATHW6.08622200
Jul 27vs BALL4.18019146
Jul 22@ CHCW5.18183011
Braxton Ashcraft · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 13@ MIAW9.085103111
Aug 6@ MILL5.08253134
Aug 1@ CINW5.06952111
Jul 26vs CHCW6.09357244
Jul 20@ NYYL3.07429178
SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Braxton Ashcraft
IPERAKHBB
vs DET
home starts5.75.297.05.71.3(3)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jul 26vs CHCW6.09357244
Jul 11vs MILW5.09865255
Jun 24vs SEAW6.086105011
Weather · Neutral Conditions
80°F, Clear, Wind 6 mph W
APF 101 — Neutral
Flags · 6
  • PIT — Braxton Ashcraft: HH% 49% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
  • DET bullpen elevated (4.0 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
  • PIT bullpen stressed (6.0 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
  • DET — Keider Montero: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-07-17 — may affect pitch count or availability
  • DET — Keider Montero: 2026-08-07: 5 ER in 6.0 IP (ERA equiv 8) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
  • DET — Keider Montero: recent opponents low-K: ATH 16%, SFG 18%, CLE 14% — recent opponents make less contact; today's lineup may be tougher
AI Analysis
Two strong starters by xERA with one hot and one slumping offense apiece makes for a murky total, and Detroit's established contact rate undercuts the strikeout prop against Ashcraft.
MIA @ PHI
6:40 PM · Citizens Bank ParkHitter Friendly
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6
Cade Gibson
xERA?ERA?K%?
More Stats
HH%?Barrel%?IP/gsH/gs?PC/gs?BB%?
PHI
No data
Zack Wheeler R
xERA3.47 (good)ERA5.84K%24.1 (good)
More Stats
HH%35.1 (avg)Barrel%5.4 (good)IP/gs4.1 IP/gsH/gs4.7PC/gs77BB%10.3
MIA vs RHP · last 6
wRC+106 (avg)12+108K%24.2 (below avg)HH%39.8 (avg)Whiff%19.0
Bullpens · Last 12
MIA
xERA 3.36 (good)ERA 4.382d stress Normal (3.0 IP/1g)
PHI
xERA 3.18 (good)ERA 4.342d stress Elevated (4.0 IP/1g)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalMIA+205+1.5 (-104)O8.0 (-115)PHI-240-1.5 (-108)U8.0 (-105)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalMIA+205+1.5 (-146)O4.5 (-106)PHI-265-1.5 (+112)U4.5 (-122)
Team Totals
Full Game O/UMIA2.5 (-150/+120)PHI4.5 (-115/+100)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UCade GibsonZack Wheeler7.5 (+115 / +130)17.5 (-195 / +135)
Zack Wheeler · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 12@ STLL5.08456145
Aug 7vs TORL5.111667544
Aug 2@ BALW2.03231000
Jul 27@ MIAL3.06866155
Jul 21vs LADL7.09395022
SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Zack Wheeler
IPERAKHBB
vs MIA5.03.607.73.72.0(3)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jul 27@ MIAL3.06866155
Jun 15vs MIAW6.09792300
May 1@ MIAW6.09483211
home starts5.45.528.37.02.0(3)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 7vs TORL5.111667544
Jul 21vs LADL7.09395022
Jul 1vs PITW4.2104109144
Weather · Hitter Friendly
86°F, Mainly Clear, Wind 6 mph NW
APF 106 — Hitter Friendly
Flags · 3
  • MIA — Cade Gibson: first start of the season — no stats available yet
  • PHI bullpen elevated (4.0 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
  • PHI — Zack Wheeler: 2026-08-12: 4 ER in 5.0 IP (ERA equiv 7) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
AI Analysis
Miami's starter has no stats and Philadelphia's offense shows no data against his hand, so the game cannot be handicapped and the Phillies moneyline is far too expensive anyway.
STL @ CIN
6:40 PM · Great American Ball ParkHitter Friendly
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6
Kyle Leahy R
xERA3.84 (avg)ERA2.25K%25.8 (good)
More Stats
HH%33.3 (good)Barrel%6.2 (good)IP/gs5.3 IP/gsH/gs6.7PC/gs87BB%1.5
CIN vs RHP · last 6
wRC+59 (poor)12+78K%24.3 (below avg)HH%41.5 (above avg)Whiff%27.4
TBD
xERA?ERA?K%?
More Stats
HH%?Barrel%?IP/gsH/gs?PC/gs?BB%?
STL
No data
Bullpens · Last 12
STL
xERA 4.65 (below avg)ERA 3.432d stress Elevated (4.0 IP/1g)
CIN
xERA 2.97 (elite)ERA 6.052d stress Elevated (4.0 IP/1g)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalSTL-120-1.5 (+140)O8.5 (-117)CIN+102+1.5 (-162)U8.5 (+102)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalSTL-125-0.5 (+108)O4.5 (-110)CIN+104+0.5 (-140)U4.5 (-118)
Team Totals
Full Game O/UF5 O/USTL4.5 (-106/-120)1.5 (-160/+124)CIN3.5 (-140/+112)1.5 (-154/+120)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UKyle Leahy5.5 (+112 / -137)15.5 (+126 / -162)TBD
Kyle Leahy · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 12vs PHIW5.08166011
Aug 7vs COLW5.08288022
Jul 31@ TORL6.09836111
Jul 26vs CINL6.010296122
Jul 20@ LAAL6.09543011
SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Kyle Leahy
IPERAKHBB
vs CIN5.06.006.06.01.7(3)
at CIN5.09.008.07.02.0(1)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jul 26vs CINL6.010296122
Jun 5vs CINW4.07915233
May 23@ CINL5.08787255
Weather · Hitter Friendly
83°F, Clear, Wind 7 mph NW
APF 104 — Hitter Friendly
Flags · 3
  • CIN — TBD: first start of the season — no stats available yet
  • STL bullpen elevated (4.0 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
  • CIN bullpen elevated (4.0 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
AI Analysis
Cincinnati's starter is a season debut with no stats and St. Louis has no data against his hand, so only the Leahy strikeout prop was considered and it did not offer enough edge to add here.
TOR @ TBR
6:40 PM · Tropicana Field (Dome)
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6
Jose Soriano R
xERA4.95 (below avg)ERA1.15K%19.4 (avg)
More Stats
HH%47.6 (poor)Barrel%7.1 (good)IP/gs5.2 IP/gsH/gs3.7PC/gs90BB%12.9
TBR vs RHP · last 6
wRC+158 (elite)12+141K%11.6 (elite)HH%35.1 (avg)Whiff%14.7
Nick Martinez R
xERA4.49 (avg)ERA4.35K%13.9 (below avg)
More Stats
HH%41.2 (below avg)Barrel%8.8 (avg)IP/gs6.9 IP/gsH/gs7.0PC/gs84BB%0.0
TOR vs RHP · last 6
wRC+81 (below avg)12+101K%23.6 (avg)HH%39.3 (avg)Whiff%23.2
Bullpens · Last 12
TOR
xERA 2.87 (elite)ERA 2.912d stress Normal (3.7 IP/1g)
TBR
xERA 4.46 (avg)ERA 5.072d stress Elevated (4.3 IP/1g)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalTOR+120+1.5 (-176)O7.5 (-108)TBR-142-1.5 (+153)U7.5 (-110)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalTOR+116+0.5 (-130)O4.5 (+112)TBR-140-0.5 (+100)U4.5 (-146)
Team Totals
Full Game O/UF5 O/UTOR3.5 (+100/-120)1.5 (-135/+105)TBR3.5 (-132/+114)2.5 (+120/-154)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UJose Soriano4.5 (-105 / -115)16.5 (-130 / -102)Nick Martinez3.5 (-102 / -113)17.5 (-172 / +137)
Jose Soriano · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 12vs BOSW6.09044211
Aug 7@ PHIW4.29434312
Jul 26@ SFGW5.08553301
Jul 20vs STLW7.09574122
Jul 12@ MINL5.07705233
Nick Martinez · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 11@ ATHW9.010158044
Aug 5@ COLW5.27546000
Jul 31vs CHWL6.07727066
Jul 25vs CLEW6.08454000
Jul 20@ TORW6.08206111
SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Jose Soriano
IPERAKHBB
vs TBR5.44.444.35.02.0(3)
at TBR7.21.254.05.03.0(1)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 13vs TBRW5.07653200
Aug 5vs TBRL4.06547177
Apr 10@ TBRW7.29345311
Nick Martinez
IPERAKHBB
vs TOR5.51.642.05.51.0(2)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jul 20@ TORW6.08206111
May 4vs TORW5.07145111
home starts5.74.212.75.00.3(3)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jul 31vs CHWL6.07727066
Jul 25vs CLEW6.08454000
Jul 10vs SEAW5.17014122
Weather · Dome
Flags · 5
  • TOR — Jose Soriano: HH% 48% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
  • TOR — Jose Soriano: BB% 13% — command concerns, elevated walk rate
  • TBR bullpen elevated (4.3 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
  • TBR — Nick Martinez: last start: 101 pitches — high pitch count, may be on shorter leash today
  • TBR — Nick Martinez: 2026-07-31: 6 ER in 6.0 IP (ERA equiv 9) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
TBR Team Total o2.5 (+120)
Tampa Bay is at 158 wRC+ vs RHP over its last 6 and 141 over its last 12, an elite bat-on-ball lineup with just an 11.6% strikeout rate. Soriano's 1.15 ERA over his last 3 is a mirage against his 4.95 xERA, 47.6% hard-hit rate, and 12.9% walk rate, so heavy contact is coming early. Getting plus money on the Rays scoring 3 in the first five innings against a regression-bound starter is the play the full-game price does not offer.
ARI @ BOS
7:10 PM · Fenway ParkHitter Friendly
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6
Merrill Kelly R
xERA6.02 (poor)ERA6.89K%15.9 (below avg)
More Stats
HH%42.5 (below avg)Barrel%6.4 (good)IP/gs5.2 IP/gsH/gs5.3PC/gs82BB%15.9
BOS vs RHP · last 6
wRC+112 (avg)12+122K%22.0 (avg)HH%32.6 (below avg)Whiff%24.2
Ranger Suarez L
xERA5.55 (poor)ERA4.97K%13.0 (below avg)
More Stats
HH%41.5 (below avg)Barrel%2.4 (elite)IP/gs4.2 IP/gsH/gs4.3PC/gs72BB%9.3
ARI vs LHP · last 6
wRC+138 (elite)12+132K%22.4 (avg)HH%45.6 (elite)Whiff%16.0
Bullpens · Last 12
ARI
xERA 4.28 (avg)ERA 3.792d stress Fresh (2.3 IP/1g)
BOS
xERA 2.19 (elite)ERA 3.552d stress Elevated (4.0 IP/1g)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalARI+146+1.5 (-144)O8.5 (-105)BOS-170-1.5 (+125)U8.5 (-105)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalARI+150+0.5 (+100)O4.5 (-122)BOS-166-0.5 (-130)U4.5 (-106)
Team Totals
Full Game O/UF5 O/UARI3.5 (-118/-108)1.5 (-130/+100)BOS4.5 (-115/-111)2.5 (+105/-135)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UMerrill Kelly3.5 (-136 / +108)15.5 (-122 / -108)Ranger Suarez4.5 (+100 / -119)15.5 (-103 / -118)
Merrill Kelly · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 12vs COLL5.07126366
Aug 7vs LADW5.28042411
Aug 2@ CLEL5.09658455
Jul 27@ PITL5.29364101
Jul 22vs ATHW5.08735122
Ranger Suarez · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 12@ TORL5.08126111
Aug 6vs CHWW3.07033234
Jul 31@ LADW4.26524233
Jul 26vs TORW4.06464000
Jul 5@ LAAW2.25356033
SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Ranger Suarez
IPERAKHBB
vs ARI3.616.254.07.51.5(2)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 21@ ARIL4.07928166
May 4vs ARIL3.28267277
home starts4.34.155.74.01.0(3)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 6vs CHWW3.07033234
Jul 26vs TORW4.06464000
Jun 29vs WSNW6.09585133
Weather · Hitter Friendly
70°F, Clear, Wind 8 mph E
APF 103 — Hitter Friendly
Flags · 5
  • ARI — Merrill Kelly: BB% 16% — command concerns, elevated walk rate
  • ARI bullpen fresh (2.3 IP over 1g) — manager may hook starter early; lean SP K/outs UNDER
  • BOS bullpen elevated (4.0 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
  • ARI — Merrill Kelly: last start: 71 pitches — short outing, possible injury concern or early hook
  • BOS — Ranger Suarez: 2026-08-06: 3 ER in 3.0 IP (ERA equiv 9) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
AI Analysis
Arizona's elite lefty-mashing lineup against a starter it has hit hard is genuine, but Boston's shutdown bullpen caps the payoff and the team-total prices already reflect the matchup.
SDP @ NYM
7:10 PM · Citi FieldRainy
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6
Robbie Ray L
xERA4.47 (avg)ERA4.20K%18.8 (avg)
More Stats
HH%40.5 (below avg)Barrel%9.5 (avg)IP/gs5.0 IP/gsH/gs4.3PC/gs87BB%14.1
NYM vs LHP · last 6
wRC+32 (poor)12+105K%24.1 (below avg)HH%39.3 (avg)Whiff%21.8
Zac Thornton L
xERA4.70 (below avg)ERA3.45K%10.4 (poor)
More Stats
HH%35.9 (avg)Barrel%7.5 (good)IP/gs5.2 IP/gsH/gs5.7PC/gs79BB%9.0
SDP vs LHP · last 6
wRC+153 (elite)12+121K%24.6 (below avg)HH%35.7 (avg)Whiff%25.6
Bullpens · Last 12
SDP
xERA 2.33 (elite)ERA 2.902d stress Normal (3.0 IP/1g)
NYM
xERA 3.87 (avg)ERA 2.792d stress Normal (2.7 IP/1g)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalSDP-112-1.5 (+146)O8.5 (-110)NYM+100+1.5 (-170)U8.5 (-108)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalSDP-120-0.5 (+112)O4.5 (-130)NYM+100+0.5 (-146)U4.5 (+100)
Team Totals
Full Game O/UF5 O/USDP4.5 (+112/-130)2.5 (+105/-135)NYM3.5 (-140/+112)2.5 (+120/-154)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/URobbie Ray4.5 (-130 / +114)15.5 (+115 / -136)Zac Thornton3.5 (-125 / +103)15.5 (-104 / -122)
Robbie Ray · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 12vs MILW4.08442322
Aug 7vs HOUL5.09227544
Jul 30@ SDPW6.08664111
Jul 25vs LAAW6.08056200
Jul 19@ SEAL4.08668213
Zac Thornton · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 12@ ATLL6.08027133
Aug 7@ PITW5.06334200
Aug 1vs MIAL4.29426334
Jul 27vs ATLW6.18156133
Jul 21@ MILW6.08123100
SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Robbie Ray
IPERAKHBB
vs NYM5.82.605.34.02.3(3)
at NYM7.01.296.04.01.0(1)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Apr 2vs NYMW5.19673322
Aug 1@ NYMW7.010264111
Jul 26vs NYML5.210235322
Zac Thornton
IPERAKHBB
vs SDP
home starts5.83.124.04.72.0(3)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 1vs MIAL4.29426334
Jul 27vs ATLW6.18156133
Jul 12vs BOSL7.08252200
Weather · Rainy
75°F, Moderate Drizzle, Wind 5 mph E
APF 101 — Neutral
Flags · 2
  • SDP — Robbie Ray: BB% 14% — command concerns, elevated walk rate
  • SDP — Robbie Ray: 2026-08-07: 4 ER in 5.0 IP (ERA equiv 7) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
SDP Team Total o4.5 (+112)
San Diego is at 153 wRC+ vs LHP over its last 6 and 121 over its last 12, elite and confirmed by both windows. Thornton is a left-hander with a 4.70 xERA and a 10.4% strikeout rate over his last 3, so he cannot miss bats against a lineup built to punish lefties. Plus money on the Padres clearing 4.5 misprices a severe pitching-hitting mismatch.
ATH @ KCR
7:40 PM · Kauffman StadiumHot
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6
Jack Perkins R
xERA4.67 (below avg)ERA11.48K%20.0 (avg)
More Stats
HH%35.3 (avg)Barrel%13.7 (below avg)IP/gs4.4 IP/gsH/gs8.7PC/gs86BB%7.1
KCR vs RHP · last 6
wRC+52 (poor)12+70K%24.4 (below avg)HH%35.1 (avg)Whiff%18.9
Mason Black R
xERA5.96 (poor)ERA4.50K%6.7 (poor)
More Stats
HH%42.9 (below avg)Barrel%5.7 (good)IP/gs10.0 IP (3gs)H/gs?PC/gs57BB%15.6
ATH vs RHP · last 6
wRC+118 (above avg)12+97K%16.4 (above avg)HH%32.2 (below avg)Whiff%21.3
Bullpens · Last 12
ATH
xERA 4.38 (avg)ERA 6.022d stress Normal (3.0 IP/1g)
KCR
xERA 5.17 (below avg)ERA 4.052d stress Fresh (0.0 IP/1g)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalATH+119+1.5 (-170)O10.0 (-105)KCR-136-1.5 (+146)U9.5 (-105)
Team Totals
Full Game O/UATH4.5 (-110/-120)KCR4.5 (-140/+110)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UJack Perkins3.5 (-130 / +103)14.5 (-161 / +130)Mason Black
Jack Perkins · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 12vs TBRL5.097212167
Aug 7@ BOSL3.07035355
Aug 1vs DETL5.19199166
Jul 27vs BOSL5.26941322
Jul 21@ ARIL5.08745133
Mason Black · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 12@ LADL3.0*4413211
Aug 7vs CHCL5.0*8623322
Jun 18vs STLW2.0*4003222
Jun 15@ WSNL2.0*3601111
Jun 12vs HOUL2.1*4833311
Weather · Hot
98°F, Mainly Clear, Wind 7 mph SE
APF 105 — Hitter Friendly
Flags · 7
  • ATH — Jack Perkins: Barrel% 14% — high hard contact rate, elevated home run risk
  • KCR — Mason Black: BB% 16% — command concerns, elevated walk rate
  • KCR bullpen: bullpen xERA 5.17 — bullpen performing well below average by expected ERA
  • KCR bullpen fresh (0.0 IP over 1g) — manager may hook starter early; lean SP K/outs UNDER
  • ATH — Jack Perkins: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-07-09 — may affect pitch count or availability
  • ATH — Jack Perkins: high-K outing 2026-08-01 (9 Ks vs avg 4.7) — stuff can dominate; may not repeat
  • KCR — Mason Black: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-08-12, 2026-08-07 — may affect pitch count or availability
KCR Team Total u4.5 (+110)
Kansas City is at 52 wRC+ vs RHP over its last 6 and 70 over its last 12 — a genuinely dead offense from both windows. Perkins carries a 4.67 xERA over his last 3 despite an ugly ERA, meaning he has pitched better than his run totals show, and a 24.4% strikeout rate for the Royals against right-handers makes them easy outs. Plus money on this lineup staying under 4.5 is value.
ATL @ MIN
7:40 PM · Target FieldHitter Friendly
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6
Tyler Mahle R
xERA2.64 (elite)ERA3.06K%36.2 (elite)
More Stats
HH%43.6 (below avg)Barrel%7.7 (good)IP/gs5.9 IP/gsH/gs4.0PC/gs95BB%5.8
MIN vs RHP · last 6
wRC+117 (above avg)12+93K%21.8 (avg)HH%40.0 (above avg)Whiff%24.1
Zebby Matthews R
xERA4.05 (avg)ERA6.00K%26.5 (good)
More Stats
HH%62.8 (poor)Barrel%9.3 (avg)IP/gs5.0 IP/gsH/gs5.7PC/gs93BB%8.8
ATL vs RHP · last 6
wRC+71 (poor)12+77K%22.2 (avg)HH%36.8 (avg)Whiff%21.2
Bullpens · Last 12
ATL
xERA 3.93 (avg)ERA 4.292d stress Normal (3.0 IP/1g)
MIN
xERA 2.92 (elite)ERA 3.462d stress Normal (3.7 IP/1g)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalATL-126-1.5 (+135)O8.5 (-115)MIN+110+1.5 (-157)U8.5 (+102)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalATL-124-0.5 (+110)O4.5 (-128)MIN+100+0.5 (-144)U4.5 (-102)
Team Totals
Full Game O/UF5 O/UATL4.5 (-106/-115)2.5 (+105/-135)MIN3.5 (-130/+110)2.5 (+124/-160)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UTyler Mahle4.5 (-122 / -104)16.5 (-110 / -130)Zebby Matthews4.5 (+115 / -142)
Tyler Mahle · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 12vs NYMW6.09374011
Aug 7@ NYYL6.09293200
Aug 1@ SDPL5.29995255
Jul 27vs MILW6.08833200
Jul 21@ KCRL5.09145133
Zebby Matthews · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 12vs BALW5.09446244
Aug 7@ MILW5.08347236
Jul 31@ SEAW5.0101104233
Jul 24vs ATHL6.09213322
Jul 19@ CHCL3.087493810
SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Tyler Mahle
IPERAKHBB
vs MIN5.14.413.57.51.0(2)
at MIN5.26.923.010.01.0(1)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 25vs MINL5.07845111
Jun 10@ MINW5.291310144
Zebby Matthews
IPERAKHBB
vs ATL
home starts5.75.292.76.02.3(3)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 12vs BALW5.09446244
Jul 24vs ATHL6.09213322
Jul 10vs LAAL6.010239244
Weather · Hitter Friendly
74°F, Clear, Wind 6 mph WNW
APF 105 — Hitter Friendly
Flags · 2
  • MIN — Zebby Matthews: HH% 63% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
  • ATL — Tyler Mahle: 2026-08-01: 5 ER in 5.2 IP (ERA equiv 9) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
Tyler Mahle o4.5 Ks (-122)
Mahle has struck out 9, 9, and 7 over his last 3 starts with a 36.2% strikeout rate, averaging 8.3 punchouts per outing. His outs line sits at 16.5 (5.5 innings), giving him the length, and Minnesota's 21.8% strikeout rate vs RHP over its last 6 offers no protection. A line of 4.5 sits well below his current form.
SEA @ MIL
7:40 PM · American Family FieldNeutral Conditions
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6
Bryce Miller R
xERA3.25 (good)ERA6.06K%19.4 (avg)
More Stats
HH%36.7 (avg)Barrel%8.2 (avg)IP/gs5.4 IP/gsH/gs5.3PC/gs90BB%7.5
MIL vs RHP · last 6
wRC+59 (poor)12+80K%25.0 (below avg)HH%45.1 (elite)Whiff%27.0
Kyle Harrison L
xERA4.10 (avg)ERA7.24K%25.0 (good)
More Stats
HH%41.5 (below avg)Barrel%12.2 (below avg)IP/gs4.6 IP/gsH/gs5.0PC/gs76BB%6.7
SEA vs LHP · last 6
wRC+77 (poor)12+79K%27.5 (below avg)HH%43.1 (above avg)Whiff%23.6
Bullpens · Last 12
SEA
xERA 3.98 (avg)ERA 7.172d stress Normal (3.0 IP/1g)
MIL
xERA 2.72 (elite)ERA 2.582d stress Fresh (2.0 IP/1g)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalSEA+135+1.5 (-173)O8.0 (-105)MIL-152-1.5 (+150)U7.5 (+100)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalSEA+124+0.5 (-128)O4.5 (+112)MIL-148-0.5 (-102)U4.5 (-146)
Team Totals
Full Game O/UF5 O/USEA3.5 (-104/-122)1.5 (-120/-110)MIL4.5 (+122/-154)2.5 (+120/-154)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UBryce Miller5.5 (+109 / -128)16.5 (-112 / -117)Kyle Harrison5.5 (-159 / +125)16.5 (-115 / -108)
Bryce Miller · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 12@ NYYL6.08958155
Aug 6vs DETL5.09355244
Jul 31vs MINL5.18733222
Jul 24@ TEXL5.18906155
Jul 17vs SFGL5.29167123
Kyle Harrison · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 11@ SDPL4.290310338
Aug 5vs PITW5.069101100
Jul 8@ STLL4.07024033
Jul 3@ ARIW2.27235133
Jun 27vs CHCL5.09293122
SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Kyle Harrison
IPERAKHBB
vs SEA
home starts5.31.127.32.30.7(3)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 5vs PITW5.069101100
Jun 27vs CHCL5.09293122
Jun 14vs PHIW6.08033000
Weather · Neutral Conditions
78°F, Partly Cloudy, Wind 10 mph WSW
APF 100 — Neutral
Flags · 4
  • MIL — Kyle Harrison: Barrel% 12% — high hard contact rate, elevated home run risk
  • MIL bullpen fresh (2.0 IP over 1g) — manager may hook starter early; lean SP K/outs UNDER
  • MIL — Kyle Harrison: low-K outing 2026-07-08 (2 Ks vs avg 5.0) — stuff was flat that day
  • MIL — Kyle Harrison: high-K outing 2026-08-05 (10 Ks vs avg 5.0) — stuff can dominate; may not repeat
AI Analysis
Both lineups are cold and both starters carry solid xERAs, but Seattle's blowup-prone bullpen and Milwaukee's slumping-but-likely-to-regress bat make the low total too risky to back.
CHW @ CHC
8:05 PM · Wrigley FieldRainy
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6
Erick Fedde R
xERA4.17 (avg)ERA8.31K%9.1 (poor)
More Stats
HH%41.2 (below avg)Barrel%5.9 (good)IP/gs4.1 IP (3gs)H/gs?PC/gs24BB%13.6
CHC vs RHP · last 6
wRC+111 (avg)12+108K%21.5 (avg)HH%37.1 (avg)Whiff%19.5
Kevin Gausman R
xERA3.28 (good)ERA4.67K%20.5 (avg)
More Stats
HH%41.8 (below avg)Barrel%5.5 (good)IP/gs5.8 IP/gsH/gs6.7PC/gs94BB%4.1
CHW vs RHP · last 6
wRC+125 (above avg)12+105K%22.8 (avg)HH%41.8 (above avg)Whiff%22.1
Bullpens · Last 12
CHW
xERA 3.70 (good)ERA 3.772d stress Elevated (4.7 IP/1g)
CHC
xERA 4.44 (avg)ERA 4.062d stress Elevated (5.3 IP/1g)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalCHW+141+1.5 (-155)O8.5 (-110)CHC-164-1.5 (+135)U8.5 (-107)
Team Totals
Full Game O/UCHW3.5 (-125/-105)CHC4.5 (-115/-115)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UErick FeddeKevin Gausman5.5 (-160 / +125)17.5 (-146 / +110)
Erick Fedde · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 13vs CINL3.0*5115244
Aug 7vs CLEL1.0*1510000
Aug 6@ BOSL0.1*501101
Aug 4@ BOSL3.0*5015145
Jul 31@ TBRW5.09164011
Kevin Gausman · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 13@ WSNL4.29377166
Aug 7@ KCRW7.09644122
Aug 1vs STLW5.29449111
Jul 26@ BOSL6.09865133
Jul 21vs TBRL3.19019245
SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Erick Fedde
IPERAKHBB
vs CHC2.417.261.35.33.3(3)
at CHC1.124.550.02.04.0(1)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
May 17vs CHCW3.09226444
Jul 6@ CHCL1.15302433
Jun 25vs CHCL3.27828277
Kevin Gausman
IPERAKHBB
vs CHW
home starts4.83.784.07.71.7(3)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 1vs STLW5.29449111
Jul 21vs TBRL3.19019245
Jun 30vs NYML6.09675211
Weather · Rainy
74°F, Clear, Wind 5 mph WSW
APF 96 — Pitcher Friendly · Rain possible (35%)
Flags · 8
  • CHW — Erick Fedde: small sample (4.1 IP over 3 starts) — stats may not reflect true ability
  • CHW — Erick Fedde: BB% 14% — command concerns, elevated walk rate
  • CHW bullpen elevated (4.7 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
  • CHC bullpen elevated (5.3 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
  • CHW — Erick Fedde: 18 days since last start (2026-07-31) — may not be fully stretched out
  • CHW — Erick Fedde: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-08-13, 2026-08-07 — may affect pitch count or availability
  • CHC — Kevin Gausman: 2026-08-13: 6 ER in 4.2 IP (ERA equiv 13) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
  • WEATHER: rain risk 35% — game delay or conditions may affect performance
CHC Team Total o4.5 (-115)
Fedde has faced the Cubs three times and been hammered each outing — 7 ER, 3 ER, and 4 ER while lasting just 2.4 IP/gs for a 17.26 ERA against them. He walks 13.6% and is coming off 18 days with recent bullpen work, so his command is shaky, and Chicago sits at 111 wRC+ vs RHP over its last 6 and 108 over its last 12. A 4.5 team total is too low for a lineup that has repeatedly torched this exact arm.
WSN @ TEX
8:05 PM · Globe Life Field (Roof Closed)
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6
TBD
xERA?ERA?K%?
More Stats
HH%?Barrel%?IP/gsH/gs?PC/gs?BB%?
TEX
No data
Cal Quantrill R
xERA3.42 (good)ERA1.50K%20.4 (avg)
More Stats
HH%37.1 (avg)Barrel%2.9 (elite)IP/gs6.0 IP/gsH/gs4.0PC/gs61BB%8.2
WSN vs RHP · last 6
wRC+81 (below avg)12+97K%24.8 (below avg)HH%31.1 (below avg)Whiff%22.1
Bullpens · Last 12
WSN
xERA 4.66 (below avg)ERA 3.862d stress Fresh (2.0 IP/1g)
TEX
xERA 3.48 (good)ERA 4.472d stress Elevated (4.0 IP/1g)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalWSN+136+1.5 (-160)O8.0 (-115)TEX-162-1.5 (+145)U8.0 (-101)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalWSN+126+0.5 (-114)O4.5 (-108)TEX-154-0.5 (-114)U4.5 (-120)
Team Totals
Full Game O/UF5 O/UWSN3.5 (-115/-110)1.5 (-140/+110)TEX4.5 (+102/-125)2.5 (+100/-130)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UTBDCal Quantrill3.5 (-120 / -101)15.5 (+110 / -130)
Cal Quantrill · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 12@ LAAL5.08564311
Aug 8vs BALW1.0*1000000
Aug 3vs SFGL6.08744113
Jul 28@ TBRW5.16972111
Jul 22vs CHWL3.0*5512322
SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Cal Quantrill
IPERAKHBB
vs WSN5.05.402.07.05.0(1)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Apr 13vs WSNW5.07727533
home starts6.01.504.04.01.0(1)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 3vs SFGL6.08744113
Weather · Roof Closed
Flags · 5
  • WSN — TBD: first start of the season — no stats available yet
  • WSN bullpen fresh (2.0 IP over 1g) — manager may hook starter early; lean SP K/outs UNDER
  • TEX bullpen elevated (4.0 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
  • TEX — Cal Quantrill: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-08-08, 2026-07-22 — may affect pitch count or availability
  • TEX — Cal Quantrill: recent opponents low-K: TBR 12%, SFG 18% — recent opponents make less contact; today's lineup may be tougher
AI Analysis
Washington's starter has no stats available, leaving half the matchup unknowable and no reliable read on the total or sides.
LAA @ HOU
8:10 PM · Daikin Park (Roof Closed)
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6
George Klassen R
xERA4.82 (below avg)ERA6.00K%16.7 (below avg)
More Stats
HH%38.5 (avg)Barrel%7.7 (good)IP/gs4.0 IP/gsH/gs4.7PC/gs81BB%16.7
HOU vs RHP · last 6
wRC+86 (below avg)12+84K%20.4 (avg)HH%38.9 (avg)Whiff%25.0
Cristian Javier R
xERA4.41 (avg)ERA3.94K%16.7 (below avg)
More Stats
HH%35.2 (avg)Barrel%7.4 (good)IP/gs8.0 IP/gsH/gs9.0PC/gs80BB%1.5
LAA vs RHP · last 6
wRC+95 (avg)12+80K%25.2 (below avg)HH%39.1 (avg)Whiff%25.6
Bullpens · Last 12
LAA
xERA 2.43 (elite)ERA 3.992d stress Normal (3.7 IP/1g)
HOU
xERA 3.12 (good)ERA 2.792d stress Elevated (4.0 IP/1g)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalLAA+142+1.5 (-143)O9.0 (-110)HOU-164-1.5 (+128)U9.0 (-102)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalLAA+132+0.5 (-110)O5.5 (+112)HOU-166-0.5 (-118)U5.5 (-146)
Team Totals
Full Game O/UF5 O/ULAA3.5 (-136/+114)1.5 (-160/+124)HOU4.5 (-120/+105)2.5 (-125/-105)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UGeorge Klassen4.5 (+122 / -143)14.5 (-140 / +107)Cristian Javier4.5 (-115 / +105)15.5 (+135 / -146)
George Klassen · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 12vs TEXW6.08755122
Aug 7@ MIAW4.08334411
Apr 11@ CINL2.07224545
Apr 5vs SEAW2.27343522
Cristian Javier · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 9@ SDPL5.08628144
Aug 3vs TORL6.08527033
Jul 27@ LAAW5.0*7073000
Jul 19vs BALL1.0*2021000
Jul 12@ TEXL3.06044333
SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Cristian Javier
IPERAKHBB
vs LAA5.15.293.52.03.5(2)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Mar 28vs LAAW4.27414466
Aug 29vs LAAW6.08560300
home starts6.04.502.07.00.0(1)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 3vs TORL6.08527033
Weather · Roof Closed
Flags · 4
  • LAA — George Klassen: BB% 17% — command concerns, elevated walk rate
  • HOU bullpen elevated (4.0 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
  • LAA — George Klassen: 2026-04-11: 4 ER in 2.0 IP (ERA equiv 18) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
  • HOU — Cristian Javier: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-07-27, 2026-07-19 — may affect pitch count or availability
AI Analysis
Two middling starters facing two unremarkable offenses with nothing pointing decisively in either direction.
LAD @ COL
8:40 PM · Coors FieldHitter Friendly
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6
Eric Lauer L
xERA3.37 (good)ERA3.86K%15.7 (below avg)
More Stats
HH%31.5 (good)Barrel%7.4 (good)IP/gs5.4 IP/gsH/gs5.3PC/gs98BB%4.3
COL vs LHP · last 6
wRC+78 (poor)12+80K%17.5 (above avg)HH%26.7 (poor)Whiff%17.8
Ryan Feltner R
xERA3.36 (good)ERA4.96K%9.5 (poor)
More Stats
HH%28.3 (elite)Barrel%6.7 (good)IP/gs5.4 IP/gsH/gs6.3PC/gs90BB%9.5
LAD vs RHP · last 6
wRC+78 (poor)12+69K%21.7 (avg)HH%36.7 (avg)Whiff%24.0
Bullpens · Last 12
LAD
xERA 2.95 (elite)ERA 3.602d stress Normal (3.0 IP/1g)
COL
xERA 4.70 (below avg)ERA 3.752d stress Elevated (5.0 IP/1g)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalLAD-180-1.5 (-120)O11.5 (-110)COL+158+1.5 (+105)U11.5 (-105)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalLAD-160-0.5 (-122)O6.5 (-110)COL+135+0.5 (-106)U6.5 (-118)
Team Totals
Full Game O/UF5 O/ULAD6.5 (-111/-110)3.5 (+100/-130)COL4.5 (-128/+100)2.5 (-110/-120)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UEric Lauer3.5 (-115 / -111)Ryan Feltner3.5 (+126 / -156)15.5 (+134 / -170)
Eric Lauer · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 12vs KCRW6.111264212
Aug 5@ CHCL4.095111066
Jul 29vs SEAW6.08741100
Jul 22@ PHIW5.19154133
Jul 6vs COLW6.09936233
Ryan Feltner · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 12@ ARIW5.09327322
Aug 7@ STLL5.19125333
Aug 1vs KCRW6.08738144
Jul 25@ MILL5.08249155
Jul 19vs CINL2.17137488
SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Eric Lauer
IPERAKHBB
vs COL6.02.503.75.71.3(3)
at COL6.01.504.07.01.0(1)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jul 6vs COLW6.09936233
May 26vs COLW6.09644111
Aug 4@ COLW6.09747111
Ryan Feltner
IPERAKHBB
vs LAD3.78.513.05.03.5(2)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Apr 18vs LADW5.28755123
Apr 15@ LADL2.28115655
home starts4.78.945.07.01.7(3)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 1vs KCRW6.08738144
Jul 19vs CINL2.17137488
Jul 3vs SFGW6.08896023
Weather · Hitter Friendly
88°F, Overcast, Wind 9 mph ENE
APF 115 — Hitter Friendly
Flags · 5
  • COL bullpen elevated (5.0 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
  • LAD — Eric Lauer: last start: 112 pitches — high pitch count, may be on shorter leash today
  • LAD — Eric Lauer: 2026-08-05: 6 ER in 4.0 IP (ERA equiv 14) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
  • LAD — Eric Lauer: recent opponents high-K: SEA 27%, CHC 29%, KCR 32% — K stats may be inflated vs strikeout-prone lineups
  • WEATHER: hitter-friendly park (APF 115) — park boosts offense, favor the over and HR props
AI Analysis
Both lineups are cold over their last 6 and Lauer owns Colorado, but Coors variance and Feltner's contact profile make the inflated total a coin flip with no edge.